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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Monday, 23 November 15
NEGATIVE 2016 OUTLOOK FOR WESTERN EUROPEAN STEEL - SAYS FITCH RATINGS
COALspot.com: European steel in 2016 are both negative for the sector and for issuer ratings.
This reflects our expectation that import levels ...
Monday, 23 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET: NET FLEET GROWTH IS SLOWING DOWN, AS SHIP OWNERS ARE LOOKING FOR WAYS TO ALLEVIATING MARKET MELTDOWN - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market has been in “meltdown” mode for a few weeks now, unable to find support and avoid the fall in historical lows. As s ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CS50 COAL INDEX CLOSED AT $40.27 PER TON; FELL 0.15% FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: The 5700 GAR CS (i) coal index fell by US cents 3 per ton week over week on 20 November 2015. CS 57 (5700 GAR coal) index closed at U ...
Monday, 23 November 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FALL FURTHER ON LOW DEMAND
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery declined US$ 6.75 (13.99%) per ton month over month.
A commodity swa ...
Sunday, 22 November 15
INDONESIA TO INDIA FREIGHT RATES TO REMAIN DULL NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com: The BDI was down to historical lows closing at 498 points which is down by almost 95.77 per cent compared to 11,800 points in 2008.
...
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- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Australian Coal Association
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
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