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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Friday, 27 November 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS UP FROM LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2016 up week over week and month over month.
The Q1’ 2016 swa ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
ITALY'S STEAM COAL IMPORTS EXPECTED TO REACH 16 MILLION TONS AND COKING COAL IMPORTS TO AMOUNT TO 4 MILLION TONS - ASSOCARBONI
ASSOCARBONI LOOKS AT COAL FROM A DIFFERENT ANGLE
- “Coal has made huge steps towards environmental sustainability, making itself t ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
DRY BULK MARKET WILL REBOUND EVENTUALLY, BUT THINGS WILL BECOME EVEN WORSE BEFORE THEY IMPROVE SAYS SHIPBROKER - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the dry bulk market’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) reached an all-time late last week and has failed to rebound significantly eve ...
Thursday, 26 November 15
Q3'16 FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP FALLS 27.5% SINCE 20 FEB 2015
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $5 per ton (12.05%) month over month to US$ 36.50 per ton. The s ...
Wednesday, 25 November 15
INDIA'S POWER GENERATORS FACE LOW, FALLING UTILISATION RATE - FITCH
COAlspot.com: Fitch Ratings says in a new report that the utilisation rate of India's thermal power generation capacity continued to decline in ...
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Australian Coal Association
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The University of Queensland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- PTC India Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
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