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Friday, 18 December 15
CHINA GROWTH SHOCK TO HIT ENERGY, SHIPPING, STEEL MOST - FITCH
 Energy, shipping and steel would be the hardest-hit sectors in Asia-Pacific (APAC) in the event of a sharp slowdown in Chinese growth, says Fitch Ratings.
The sector outlooks for APAC steel and energy, and global shipping, are negative even under our current forecast expectations where China slows only gradually. Asian manufacturing and technology sectors would also be significantly affected, given the scale of Chinese demand and its position in the regional supply chain, said Fitch Ratings in its latest note.
Fitch's core view remains that China will not experience a 'hard landing', with GDP growth forecast to slow to 6.3% and 6% in 2016 and 2017, respectively. But some risks remain of a disorderly structural rebalancing, where growth slows more quickly than forecast. Fitch has assessed the impact of a hypothetical scenario in which China's economy were to experience a rapid and substantial deceleration over a three-year period to end-2018, with shocks to both investment and consumption. Under this scenario, Chinese GDP growth would fall to an average of 2.3% per annum from 2016-2018.
Fitch further noted that, a sudden slowdown in China would act as a significant drag on global growth. APAC countries with the most extensive trade and investment connections with China would be the most exposed, and include Hong Kong, Singapore, Korea, Taiwan and Japan. Global commodity prices would stay lower for longer, and capital investment and export and trade-linked sectors would face the most significant effects on financial performance and credit profiles.
APAC manufacturers of heavy equipment and machinery, and dry-bulk shipping companies, would suffer as Chinese demand and investment growth - and by extension, regional trade - would fall rapidly. Chemicals, ores and minerals are also among the largest categories of exports to China from the APAC region. Consumer product manufacturers such as office and telecom equipment supplies would also be exposed.
According to Fitch, if Chinese consumer demand growth were to fall significantly under this scenario, then domestic technology firms would also experience pressure on revenues and margins. Furthermore, the broad-based effects on global demand from China's slowdown would also weigh on regional technology firms, given China's heavily integrated position in the APAC supply chain.
China imports large volumes of electronic components from the APAC region and exports finished products. If global consumer demand growth were to fall significantly, then price competition among producers would also be likely to rise, Fitch concluded.
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Thursday, 03 December 15
PANAMAX BUSINESS REMAINED UNDER PRESSURE LAST WEEK
COALspot.com: Following the new record lows the Dry Bulk market witnessed the week prior, the BDI took a much needed breath during the past days.
...
Wednesday, 02 December 15
Q3' 16 FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP SLIGHTLY UP FOR THE THIRD STRAIGHT WEEK
COALspot.com: API4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q1’ 2016 up month over month and fell week over week.
The Q1’ 2016 &nbs ...
Wednesday, 02 December 15
MARKET INSIGHT - VASSILIS LOGOTHETIS
Boom and bust cycles in commodity prices are not something rare, yet they have important implications both for the world economy in general and for ...
Tuesday, 01 December 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP UP THIS PAST WEEK
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q1’ 2016 delivery slid $3.75 per ton (9.26%) month over month to US$ 36.75 per ton. The swap ...
Tuesday, 01 December 15
TANKERS VERSUS BULKERS - JUST PLAYING CATCH UP? - CLARKSONS
It’s now more than a year since the tanker market took off. In mid-2014 tanker earnings picked up and since then have been in the $30-$40,000 ...
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- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
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