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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Tuesday, 03 March 15
Q4' FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP CLOSED 2% LOWER COMPARED TO Q2 CLOSING PRICE OF $ 47.47
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose month on month and declined week over week.
The Q2 swap increased US$ 2.24 ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAPS: Q2 UP 9.60%; Q3 UP 9.75% W-O-W
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and week on week.
The Q2 swap has soared US$ 5 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAP FOR Q2 DELIVERY REACHED $ 57.50 PMT W/E 27 FEB 2015
COALspot.com: API 8 CFR South China Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 1.37 (+2.44%) per MT month over month and declined US$ 0.42 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
BORYEONG POWER PLANT OF KOMIPO TO IMPORT 140K OF SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL FOR Q2
COALspot.com - Korea Midland Power Co. Ltd. (KOMIPO) is inviting bids from coal producers, marketing companies, or traders to supply of 140,000 (70 ...
Monday, 02 March 15
FOB NEWCASTLE COAL SWAP ROSE 6.89% MONTH OVER MONTH
COALspot.com: API 5 FOB Newcastle Coal swap for Q2’ 2015 delivery rose US$ 3.35 per MT (+6.89%) month over month and US$ 0.40 (0.78%) week on ...
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- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The University of Queensland
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- White Energy Company Limited
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
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