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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Sunday, 01 March 15
BDI INDEX SLIGHTLY UP CAUSED AN INCREASE IN THE PANAMAX, SUPARAMAX AND HANDY SIZE INDICES
COALspot.com: The freight market saw some gains this week and BDI was up 5.26 pct closed at 540 points. However the Cape index failed to follow BDI ...
Friday, 27 February 15
WEEKLY US COAL PRODUCTION DOWN AN ESTIMATED 14.0% FROM LAST WEEK - EIA
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 16.5 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET COULD REBOUND FROM HISTORICAL LOWS IN THE COMING WEEKS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
The dry bulk market could exit from its historical lows in the coming weeks, as Chinese buyers reenter the market after the holiday celebrations. T ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
COAL POLICY RISK: HIGHER ROYALTIES FOR IUP HOLDERS - BAHANA SECURITIES | JAKARTA POST
The Energy and Mineral Resources Ministry plans to raise coal royalties charged to mining operation permit (IUP) holders by the end of the first qu ...
Thursday, 26 February 15
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR POSITIVE MOMENTUM, BUT PROSPECTS REMAIN DIM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
As the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) inched a bit higher over the past couple of sessions and the Chinese are returning to the market after a week long hi ...
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- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PTC India Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- The University of Queensland
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Economic Council, Georgia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
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