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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Thursday, 05 March 15
BUKIT ASAM BOOKED US$ 1 BILLION REVENUE IN 2014
COALspot.com: Indonesian publicly listed and state owned coal miner PT. Bukit Asam, has announced that, the revenue of the company for the period J ...
Wednesday, 04 March 15
AN AGENDA FOR CHANGE - FITCH INDONESIA CONFERENCE
Fitch Indonesia Conference - 5 March 2015
Fitch Ratings will host its annual Indonesia conference on 5 March 2015.
The theme of this year ...
Wednesday, 04 March 15
KEEP CALM AND INVEST IN DRY - THEODORE NTALAKOS
Keep Calm and Carry On was originally a motivational poster, intended to raise the morale of the British public, produced by the British government ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
INDONESIAN COAL EXPORT VOLUME TO DECLINE 50% BY 2019
COALspot.com: The Indonesian government is planning to reduce coal export volume by 50% within the next five years while keeping its coal productio ...
Tuesday, 03 March 15
INDIAN THERMAL COAL IMPORTS: STEAMING FORWARD - CLARKSONS
Coal-fired power stations comprise around 60% of India’s power output, and with domestic supply issues and favourable international coal pric ...
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- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PTC India Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- White Energy Company Limited
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
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