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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Wednesday, 25 February 15
PORT OF NEWCASTLE SHIPPED 13.16MT OF COAL IN JANUARY; DECLINED 16.70% FROM A MONTH AGO
COALspot.com: The Port of Newcastle, Australia’s major trading ports and the world’s largest coal export port, has shipped $1.15 billio ...
Wednesday, 25 February 15
BDI SLIPPING ONCE MORE TO FRESH HISTORICAL LOWS
COALspot.com: With the BDI slipping once more to fresh historical lows and the Chinese holidays underway, signs for a positive reversal in the Dry ...
Tuesday, 24 February 15
FOB INDONESIA COAL SWAP SET TO RALLY
COALspot.com: Indonesian coal swaps for delivery Q2' 2015 rose week over week and month on month.
The Q2 swap increased US$ 3.30 (+7.30%) ...
Tuesday, 24 February 15
Q3' FOB RICHARDS BAY COAL SWAP CLOSED $59.80 W/E 20 FEB
COALspot.com: API 4 FOB Richards Bay Coal swap for delivery Q2' 2015 surge month over month and decline week on week.
The Q2 swap has soar ...
Tuesday, 24 February 15
IHS ENERGY COAL CONFERENCE OF THE AMERICAS
Attend the IHS Energy Coal Conference of the Americas 17-19 March in Cartagena, Colombia and learn about timely concerns in today's coal indust ...
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- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The University of Queensland
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- White Energy Company Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
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