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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Monday, 09 March 15
CHINA'S IMPORTS - NEVER MORE IMPORTANT TO SHIPPING? - CLARKSONS
Over the last 15 years China has led maritime forecasters a right old dance. In 2002, rumours that Chinese iron ore imports were about to take off ...
Sunday, 08 March 15
FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS TRENDING UP
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to see gains this week and all the indices were rose except for Cape index. The BDI was increased 4.62 p ...
Friday, 06 March 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX: IS THIS POWERFUL INDICATOR SIGNALING A GLOBAL RECESSION? - STREET AUTHORITY
Although memories of the Great Recession linger, a case can be made that better days lie ahead.
That’s because central banks around the ...
Friday, 06 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE 3.5% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 05 March 15
PANAMAX : THE ATLANTIC ROUND IS NOW PAYING AROUND US$ 5K PER DAY
COALspot.com: Handy - The activity in the handy/supra segment is back. “ We see more fresh cargo in the market for 2nd half March dates ...
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- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- PTC India Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- The University of Queensland
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
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