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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Monday, 09 March 15
CHINA'S IMPORTS - NEVER MORE IMPORTANT TO SHIPPING? - CLARKSONS
Over the last 15 years China has led maritime forecasters a right old dance. In 2002, rumours that Chinese iron ore imports were about to take off ...
Sunday, 08 March 15
FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS TRENDING UP
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to see gains this week and all the indices were rose except for Cape index. The BDI was increased 4.62 p ...
Friday, 06 March 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX: IS THIS POWERFUL INDICATOR SIGNALING A GLOBAL RECESSION? - STREET AUTHORITY
Although memories of the Great Recession linger, a case can be made that better days lie ahead.
That’s because central banks around the ...
Friday, 06 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE 3.5% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 05 March 15
PANAMAX : THE ATLANTIC ROUND IS NOW PAYING AROUND US$ 5K PER DAY
COALspot.com: Handy - The activity in the handy/supra segment is back. “ We see more fresh cargo in the market for 2nd half March dates ...
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- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Australian Coal Association
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PTC India Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
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