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Thursday, 05 March 15
INDIA WILL BE THE LARGEST DRIVER OF GLOBAL SEABORNE COKING COAL DEMAND GROWTH IN 2015 - WOOD MACKENZIE
 Global demand growth will remain weak because of China’s negative demand growth.
COALspot.com: At Coaltrans India, Wood Mackenzie says India will be central to supporting growth in the global seaborne metallurgical (met) coal market this year, with a two million tonnes (Mt) rise in imports on the cards. Overall however, global growth in the seaborne market will remain broadly subdued thanks to expectations for a further retreat in Chinese imports of 4-5Mt. Following on from last year, China’s appetite for imports has waned thanks to a combination of a slowing steel sector, lower coke prices and the continued uncertainty regarding trace element standards being enforced on met coal imports.
Ronnie Cecil, Principal Steel Analyst for Wood Mackenzie says, “In 2015, the combined net increase in global seaborne demand will just about be sufficient to offset the negative China impact this year. India offers the main ray of hope with steel production growth on course to advance 4% this year boosting demand for imported met coal. Growth wise semi-soft coking coal (SSCC) and pulverised coal injection (PCI) coal, both used in steelmaking, will continue to see imports rise sharply thanks to steelmakers’ ongoing focus on hot metal cost reduction. Meanwhile, the scarcity of good quality premium hard coking coal locally will continue to support imports.”
Looking further ahead, India is expected to remain a key driver of global met coal trade growth over both the medium and long term. Of the 123Mt rise in global trade projected by Wood Mackenzie out to 2035, India is expected to account for 40% of this, with China contributing 28%. Mr Cecil says, “We expect rising Indian demand to overtake Japan - currently the biggest importer - in 2025 before reaching parity with China by 2035. This begs the question of whether India will be the next China.”
For the medium term from now to 2020, Wood Mackenzie says China is expected to resume its charge on the coal import front, with imports heading over 100Mt. However, with peak hot metal demand set to kick-in around the same time at 880Mt, this will temper further upside for Chinese coal imports longer term. For India, it is very much the reverse of this story. Mr Cecil explains, “While the potential for huge steel consumption growth is there in India, the capacity to satisfy that demand is likely to take a longer timeframe compared to China as it is typically constrained by bureaucratic procedures, regulations and permitting issues. As a result, we are less bullish over the medium term anticipating steel growth of 4-5% per annum, before ramping up to 6-7% per annum in the longer term to 2035. This in-turn will skew most of the 51Mt coal import growth in India towards the 2020-2035 timeframe.”
In summary, Mr Cecil says, “India’s steel sector tells of a positive story through to the longer term. For now, it is not a dominant force but it is clearly starting to show strength in supporting demand through a very weak and oversupplied global market. It is also one to watch to understand the shift in demand growth concentration when China does eventually reach peak iron and steel demand.”
About Wood Mackenzie:
Wood Mackenzie is a global leader in commercial intelligence for the energy, metals and mining industries. We provide objective analysis and advice on assets, companies and markets, giving clients the insights they need to make better strategic decisions. For more information visit Wood Mackenzie official website
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Monday, 09 March 15
CHINA'S IMPORTS - NEVER MORE IMPORTANT TO SHIPPING? - CLARKSONS
Over the last 15 years China has led maritime forecasters a right old dance. In 2002, rumours that Chinese iron ore imports were about to take off ...
Sunday, 08 March 15
FREIGHT RATES FROM INDONESIA TO INDIA IS TRENDING UP
COALspot.com: The freight market continued to see gains this week and all the indices were rose except for Cape index. The BDI was increased 4.62 p ...
Friday, 06 March 15
BALTIC DRY INDEX: IS THIS POWERFUL INDICATOR SIGNALING A GLOBAL RECESSION? - STREET AUTHORITY
Although memories of the Great Recession linger, a case can be made that better days lie ahead.
That’s because central banks around the ...
Friday, 06 March 15
U.S. WEEKLY COAL PRODUCTION ROSE 3.5% WEEK ON WEEK
COALspot.com – United States the world's one of the largest coal producers, produced approximately 17.1 million short tons (mmst) of coal ...
Thursday, 05 March 15
PANAMAX : THE ATLANTIC ROUND IS NOW PAYING AROUND US$ 5K PER DAY
COALspot.com: Handy - The activity in the handy/supra segment is back. “ We see more fresh cargo in the market for 2nd half March dates ...
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Planning Commission, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
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