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Wednesday, 06 November 13
WILL NEW ORDERS DRIVE THE MARKET DOWN AGAIN ONCE DELIVERIES COMMENCE
"While there are many concerns on whether the new orders will drive the market down again once deliveries commence, the second half of 2013 has shown that if solid demand is there then shipping offers very good returns" - Theodore Ntalakos
Earlier in 2013 we were looking at the fleet and the order book profiles trying to find some signs that would imply whether we were closer to a recovery in order to substantiate further investing in shipping, Theodore Ntalakos, New building / SnP Broker in Intermodal says in his latest research report.
Looking back, we can see that, to-date, it was a good time to invest irrespectively of whether the recent surge was a result of the increased demand for seaborne trade or a change in sentiment that the worst is behind us, or a mixture of both, Theodore Ntalakos noted.
Intermodal's analyst added that, this time, looking at a snapshot of the fleet and order book profile in the beginning of 2013 and today, we can partly explain the recent surge in freight rates as in some segments the trade grew faster than the fleet. On the other hand, in a year of record low average freight rates and record deliveries, even a reduction of 7% in the order book means that more than half of the dry bulk carriers on order as of January 2013 were “re-ordered”. We count around 850 new orders to date.
He added that, the revived interest in new buildings came at the right time for many shipyards, which were urgently looking to fill their 2014 and 2015 slots. The demand has surpassed any expectation since many of the biggest shipbuilders have already sold most of their 2016 berths; not only that but they are now asking a premium for 2015 deliveries which will be squeezed into their production line. The increased demand obviously drove prices up. For many the extent of this price increase cannot be substantiated but it's only logical that many of the shipyards are trying to take advantage of the current market and make sure that the new orders will not make them suffer any losses. The actual number of vessels on order as well as the order book to in service fleet ratio have both receded in all sizes except the Handymax -Ultramax segment where we have seen an increase.
Comparing the dry bulk fleet in service between January 2013 and today we can calculate an increase of 6% in terms of deadweight (in 2012 the fleet grew by 10%). However, there are two more months left in 2013 and assuming there will be some slippage, the fleet will grow by about 8%. So far, with the exception of the fleet of Handies (20,000-40,000dwt) that did not grow at all (there was only a marginal increase of the total dwt and a reduction of the number of vessels), all other sizes grew between 5-7%. One interesting finding is that the Capesize fleet (the 180,000dwt class) has only grown by 3% so far in 2013, which partly explains why China's recent restocking has assisted the recent boom in freight rates.
Concluding his analysis, Theodore Ntalakos said that, while there are many concerns on whether the new orders will drive the market down again once deliveries commence, the second half of 2013 has shown that if solid demand is there then shipping offers very good returns. In our humble opinion, for the medium to long term, the demand for seaborne trade will be there and so will healthy market returns.
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations | research@intermodal.gr
Analysts:
Mr. George Lazaridis | g.lazaridis@intermodal.gr
Ms. Eva Tzima | e.tzima@intermodal.gr
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no re-producing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 03 October 13
INDONESIA AUGUST COAL EXPORTS FALL 12.90 % FROM JULY TO 30.71 MIL MT
COALspot.com: Indonesia, the 15th largest economy in world, 4th largest coal producer in world and world's largest multi grade coal exporter ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
TOP FOUR U.S. COAL COMPANIES SUPPLIED MORE THAN HALF OF U.S. COAL PRODUCTION IN 2011 - EIA
In the past two years, more than half of U.S. coal production was attributable to the top four coal producers, the result of changes in regional pro ...
Thursday, 03 October 13
HANDY: PERIOD MARKET STAND IN GOOD POSITION - FEARNRESEARCH
Handy
Nickel ore and Bauxite was active last week but slowed down now due to Chinese holidays. Ships opened in North China fixed at US$ 11-13k leve ...
Wednesday, 02 October 13
DRY BULK MARKET IS STILL MAINTAINING ITS UPWARD DIRECTION
Chartering (Wet: Stable- / Dry: Firm+)
Despite the fact that rates for Capes didn't continue their crazy ride this past week, the Dry Bulk market ...
Wednesday, 02 October 13
HOW LONG WILL THIS LATEST CAPESIZE RALLY LAST? - TASOS PAPADOPOULOS
By Tasos Papadopoulos, SnP Broker, Intermodal
The surge in iron ore trade has translated into a massive boost in daily earnings for capes; with t ...
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Showing 4086 to 4090 news of total 6871 |
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- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- The University of Queensland
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
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