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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per da ...
Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, man ...
Friday, 22 July 22
YANCOAL AUSTRALIA CUTS 2022 COAL OUTPUT VIEW AS FLOODS, COVID BITE - REUTERS
Coal miner Yancoal Australia Ltd YAL.AX cut its 2022 output forecast on Wednesday, signalling a hit from higher-than-expected rainfall, COVID-19-le ...
Wednesday, 20 July 22
BOOST FOR BIOFUELS AS IMO REMOVES REGULATORY HURDLE - GARD
MARPOL Annex VI regulations were written for petroleum derived fuels but also apply to biofuels. It has been a challenge to meet the regulatory req ...
Wednesday, 20 July 22
INDONESIA’S COAL EXPORTS TO THE EU INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY RECENTLY
European countries have increased coal imports from Indonesia due to the energy crisis that hit the region after Russia cuts gas exports to Europe. ...
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- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- The University of Queensland
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
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