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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Tuesday, 26 July 22
CAP RUSSIA'S OIL PRICE NOW - PROJECT SYNDICATE
Though the price of oil has declined in recent weeks, it is still through the roof, filtering through to gasoline prices, and causing economic and ...
Tuesday, 26 July 22
WILL SOUTH AMERICA’S WINTER DEMAND DRAW LNG CARGOES AWAY FROM EUROPE? - ICIS
South America is now in the middle of its winter demand season. Last year the region increased its share of global LNG imports in winter, with Braz ...
Monday, 25 July 22
GLOBAL 2021 COAL-FIRED ELECTRICITY GENERATION SURGES TO RECORD HIGH - REUTERS
By contrast, mine output was still fractionally below the record set between 2012 and 2014 because older and less efficient coal generators have be ...
Saturday, 23 July 22
THE EU HAS BEEN REDUCING IMPORTS OF RUSSIAN REFINED OIL PRODUCTS SINCE MARCH - BANCHERO COSTA
The European Union could now ban the import and transit of fuel oil from Russia around six months ahead of the planned deadline, an EU official and ...
Saturday, 23 July 22
INDONESIA CONSIDERING SCRAPPING DOMESTIC SALES RULE FOR PALM OIL EXPORTS - REUTERS
Indonesia is considering removing a domestic sales requirement for palm oil exports because high inventories of the vegetable oil have been holding ...
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- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
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