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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Friday, 29 July 22
GLENCORE TO SUPPLY COAL TO NIPPON STEEL AT $375 PER TON - BLOOMBERG
Glencore Plc, agreed to supply coal to Nippon Steel at one of the highest prices ever paid by the Japan Bloomberg reported on July 27.
...
Friday, 29 July 22
GLOBAL COAL DEMAND IS SET TO RETURN TO ITS ALL-TIME HIGH IN 2022 - IEA
The world’s consumption of coal is set to rise slightly in 2022, taking it back to the record level it reached nearly a decade ago, according ...
Thursday, 28 July 22
CREW FAMILIARISATION IS CRITICAL WHEN TAKING OVER A VESSEL - WEST P&I CLUB
Knowledge to Elevate
When a vessel changes ownership and/or manager, it can take some considerable time before the new crew and mana ...
Thursday, 28 July 22
RETURN OF COAL A THREAT TO EUROPEAN COMPANIES' ESG RATINGS - REUTERS
European companies turning to coal as an alternative to Russian gas face a hit to their environmental, social and governance ratings, leaving them ...
Wednesday, 27 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Amid the upcoming ban on Russian coal from the EU, which will be in full effect on August 10th, EU nations have been accelerating their coal import ...
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- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Coal Association
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
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