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Tuesday, 06 September 11
INDONESIAS PROPOSED COAL EXPORT BAN MAY HAVE IMPACT ON THE INDIAN POWER SECTOR - DIPESH DIPU
COALspot.com - This is a special interview about Indonesian proposed coal export ban by 2014, with Mr. Dipesh Dipu, Director of Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu, India.
The Indonesian government is currently in the process of drafting a new regulation that could ban the export of low-grade coal by January 12, 2014. This is likely to apply to coal below 5700 kcal/kg on air dried basis in value.
As of now Indonesia is producing around 150 million tons of coal with calorific value below 5700 GAD (according to chairman of Indonesian coal mining association). However by 2014, there are possibilities the total production of below 5700 GAD coal may reach more than 200 million per annum.
Will Indonesian coal export ban impact on the Indian fuel requirements?
The earlier grade of coal that was being considered for proposed ban has GCV of 5100 kcal/kg of less (adb), which can be comparable to 3800-4200 kcal/kg (arb) domestic coal available in India. This grade of coal has found favor in India primarily due to likely price advantage but economics of power generation based on such grade of imported coal may be a suspect. This considering that such grades of coal from Indonesia typically have high moisture content, which makes transportation cost per unit of energy generated higher. The quantum of the low grade of coal (<5100 kcal/kg adb) procured from Indonesia is likely to remain relatively low.
However, if the new definition of low grade coal is applied (<5700 kcal/kg adb), it may be reasonable to believe that such a ban may have impact on the Indian power sector as volumes in this grade of coal are expected to rise in the proportion of coal exports to India. Several of the acquisitions made by Indian power generation companies in Indonesia have been in coal blocks that will produce coal of this grade, and a blanket ban on the exports can jeopardize power plant development in India.
On the other hand, the domestic Indonesian market may not be prepared to consume all the coal mined of this grade in view of the power generation capacity addition plans in Indonesia. In such a case, the coal mine development is likely to be deferred. The Indonesian law makers may need to reconsider domestic market demand, investment climate in coal sector and impact of the legislation on the export revenues.
What is the alternative source for Indian power industry if the proposed coal export ban come into effect by 2014?
Indian power generation companies have been forced to look out for coal assets abroad due to the investment and regulatory environment within the country. India boasts of more than 110 billion tonnes of coal reserves, which largely fall within a 300 meters of depth. If the regulatory and investment environment is amended to allow greater participation of private sector Indian dependence on imports will be reduced.
However, for imports, India will continue to look at Indonesia, South Africa, Australia and newer destinations like Mozambique and Columbia. But these sources also have constraints, domestic demands in South Africa is likely to restrict quantum jump in exports out of South Africa. Indonesia has also proposed domestic market obligations. Mozambique may have infrastructure constraints for large volumes of coal being transported from Tete province to ports of Maputo, Ncala or Beira. Australian coal is of high quality but may have higher costs of mining and transport.
What would be the additional cost if Indian consumers switch their sourcing origin from Indonesia?
Indonesia has competitive advantage due to its geographical closeness. However, on a per tonne basis, assuming comparable quality, costs of transport may make marginal difference when compared with South Africa and Mozambique.
When compared to Australian coal, due to the high quality, cost of energy may well be comparable even though shipping costs are higher. Between Indonesian coal (5500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 90 per tonne) and Australian coal (6500 kcal/kg adb priced at USD 120 per tonne), indicative variable cost difference of power generation may be about Indian Rupees 0.20 to 0.30 per kWh (electricity unit) in favor of Indonesian coal.
Will it affect Indian economy growth or this coal export ban is ignorable as India can easily identify alternative sources of fuel?
The magnitude of growth in power generation in India will necessarily mean that coal will remain the mainstay. Natural gas has had issues of availability. Nuclear plant development is facing socio-political challenge in view of the risks of technology failure. Development of hydel power has also faced issues of land acquisition, rehabilitation & resettlement apart from the technical issues of hydro-geological features. Renewable sources such as solar and wind generation are still projected to constitute a small portion of India power generation mix. Identifying an alternative source that can match coal in its accessibility, availability and affordability in the context of scale of capacity addition required in India is a challenge.
What is the Indian government's role on this issue, whether government has to come out with the solution such as easing Indian mining and environment law, open up mining for foreigners, G2G arrangement, etc…?
There is a need to look at domestic sources with pro-active and constructive approach and make all necessary legal and statutory amendments that make the resources available and mineable. Easing the regulations may not be one of such measures but making those regulations work in sync with each other in a time bound and predictable manner must certainly be.
There is certainly a case for opening the domestic coal sector for private participation, including independent miners, and for foreign participation so that newer technology and enhanced scale of operations are implemented in India. The regulation also needs to permit risk capital to come in for prospecting and exploration.
For imports the G2G relations can be leveraged to secure coal assets. India has good relationship with Indonesia and has also signed a tax treaty with Mozambique in 2010 which will facilitate investments. Government may also engage with these countries to ease exports to India and extend fiscal support to coal mining companies investing in mining and associated infrastructure development.
About Dipesh Dipu
Dipesh Dipu works as Director with Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India Pvt. Ltd in the Energy and Resources consulting practice of the firm and anchors the Firm’s initiative in the mining and metals sectors.
He is a mining engineering graduate from Indian School of Mines and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has also done executive program in business management from Indian Institute of Management Calcutta. Dipesh has recently been awarded the Abheraj Baldota Gold Medal for the Young Mining Engineer of the Year 2007 by the Mining Engineers’ Association of India in recognition of his contributions in the improvement of mining industry in India.
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Saturday, 23 July 22
STABILITY OF RUSSIAN GAS FLOWS REMAIN UNCERTAIN, DESPITE THE REOPENING OF NORD STREAM - WOOD MACKENZIE
Gazprom confirmed today that regular annual maintenance of Nord Stream is officially over and gas flows restarted at 63 million cubic metres per da ...
Friday, 22 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Faced with uncertainty regarding the most cost-efficient alternative fuels and the future dominant method to reduce their greenhouse emissions, man ...
Friday, 22 July 22
YANCOAL AUSTRALIA CUTS 2022 COAL OUTPUT VIEW AS FLOODS, COVID BITE - REUTERS
Coal miner Yancoal Australia Ltd YAL.AX cut its 2022 output forecast on Wednesday, signalling a hit from higher-than-expected rainfall, COVID-19-le ...
Wednesday, 20 July 22
BOOST FOR BIOFUELS AS IMO REMOVES REGULATORY HURDLE - GARD
MARPOL Annex VI regulations were written for petroleum derived fuels but also apply to biofuels. It has been a challenge to meet the regulatory req ...
Wednesday, 20 July 22
INDONESIA’S COAL EXPORTS TO THE EU INCREASED SIGNIFICANTLY RECENTLY
European countries have increased coal imports from Indonesia due to the energy crisis that hit the region after Russia cuts gas exports to Europe. ...
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- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- White Energy Company Limited
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
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