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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Thursday, 02 March 23
DRY BULK MARKET: THE WAY CHINA GOES, SO GOES THE MARKET - BIMCO
We expect demand growth within the 1.5-2.5% range in 2023, driven by China’s economic recovery. Improvements in consumer sentiment should hel ...
Thursday, 02 March 23
INDIA, CHINA DEMAND BOOST LOW-RANK THERMAL COAL PRICES IN ASIA - RUSSELL, REUTERS
Signs of stronger import demand from India have arrested the decline in price of the thermal coal grades most commonly sought by the world’s ...
Thursday, 02 March 23
INDIA CHEERS THE RETURN OF ‘KING COAL’ AS INDUSTRY SEES BUOYANT FUTURE - REUTERS
India’s coal industry celebrated the return of its major conference after a three-year pandemic hiatus by presenting a bullish view of demand ...
Wednesday, 01 March 23
GEO CONNECT ASIA RETURNS IN MARCH TO ACCELERATE THE REGION’S GEOSPATIAL AND LOCATION INTELLIGENCE CAPABILITIES
Press Release: The third edition of GCA will be held in conjunction with Digital Construction Asia and the inaugural Drones Asia – an event d ...
Wednesday, 01 March 23
THE DECLINE IN THE COAL PRICE SINCE THE BEGINNING OF THE YEAR HAS BEEN SIGNIFICANT - INTERMODAL
Last week, the front-month API2 future rose by 3.5%, but since the beginning of the year the future has fallen by 39% to $136.65/t, while the Newca ...
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- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
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