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Friday, 04 December 09
CHINA'S COAL IMPORTS PREDICTED TO DECLINE IN 2010
China's eye-catching coal import figure s are unlikely to extend into 2010 given the predicted narrow-down of the coal price spread between the home and overseas markets, said anal ysts.
In the almost-past 2009, coal imports have maintained feverish grow th in China ever since the beginning of the year, thanks to collapsing
global coal prices brought about by the economic crisis. Published st atistics show that the Australia BJ Steam spot price tumbled at one po int to US61.5 dollars per metric ton (tonne) on March 19 of this year from the US190.95 dollars/tonne in Q4 of 2008, when the financial tail spin started to dampen world energy demands.
Meanwhile, local prices fell slightly due to restricted supply brou ght on by the coal resources integration in Shanxi province, China's m ajor coal producer.
Based on attractive prices worldwide, some industry experts even es timate China's coal imports will hit 110-plus million tonnes, more tha n 1.7 times of the figure last year.
The following is a chart unveiling the resurgence of China coal imp orts during January to October of 2009:
While coal imports totaled just 18.9 million tonnes between January and October, annual net coal imports should reach 87 million tonnes, with the yearly export figure expected to stay around 23 million tonne s this year, according to sector analysts.
The sharp growth in China's coal imports is a complete reversal of the situation in 2008, which saw just 5.03 million tonnes of coal expo rts.
China's conversion into a net coal importer has marked a structural
change in its coal trading, and its explosive coal demand rise is lik ely to be sustained for some time, according to Greg Boyce, CEO of Pea body Energy, the largest coal producer in the world.
Huang Teng, a local senior coal trade expert, said the pick-up in C hina's 2009 coal imports was not an exception in view of its substanti ally larger-than-global-supply coal demands, adding that the predicted
100-plus million tonnes of imports this year would account for only 3
percent of China's 300 million tonnes of coal needs.
The following chart shows China's coal output since September 2008:
China was not expected to be a net coal importer because of its bou ntiful coal reserves, said industry watchers, noting that the imports hike is also price-driven.
But the mighty coal imports by China during 2009 were bound to lift
up international coal prices next year, which was sure to bring down the country's coal imports next year, said Huang.
Furthermore, the small growth in global coal supply next year will also add to external coal prices rises, as competition with coal impor ters such as India will intensify, driven by the subcontinent's econom ic recovery, said industry analysts.
So far, the rising price on the world coal market is seen by other coal importing countries, which make up one eighth of the world coal t rade as, the best mechanism to curb China's imports and secure their o wn coal imports, said Huang.
It is a fact that China's coal imports have stoked up the internati onal coal price in 2009. Statistics from GlobalCoal, a worldwide marke tplace facilitator for trading coal and coal-related services, show th at prices for steam coal at Australian's Newcastle port rallied to US8 1 dollars/tonne after falling below US60 dollar/tonne at one point thi s year.
Add in climbing international freight costs, and the price spread b etween global and local coal prices will be squeezed, making overseas coal lose its price advantage, say analysts.
The consensus in China's coal industry is that prices agreed in coa l supply contracts will rise, but the upward margin remains under deba te, disclosed insiders with China Coal Transportation and Distribution
Association.
A 5 to 10 percent rise in thermal coal contract price looks likely in 2010, according to most coal trader researchers with local securit y dealers.
More flexible online convergence of coal production, transportation , and demand will be launched domestically in 2010, which should make it easier for local users to acquire coal.
Source: I Stock Analyst
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Saturday, 18 March 23
HEDGE TO OFFSET LNG VOLATILITY, TRADERS TOLD - BALTIC EXCHANGE
A shift in imports from Asia to Europe led to significant volatility in liquefied natural gas shipping last year, prompting industry experts to urg ...
Friday, 17 March 23
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE UP AROUND 2.17% IN MARCH 2023
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference up around 2.17% in March 2023.
According to the new HBA regulation No. 41.K/MB.0 ...
Saturday, 11 March 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Uncertainty over the recovery of Chinese demand, demand destruction in Europe, as well as weather conditions will pivot the LNG market this summer. ...
Wednesday, 08 March 23
INDONESIAN COAL REFERENCE PRICE FORMULA HAS OFFICIALLY CHANGED
Indonesian Minister of Energy and Mineral Resources has officially changed the guideline for determining the benchmark price for the sale of coal c ...
Thursday, 02 March 23
INDIA'S SEABORNE CRUDE OIL IMPORTS IN 2022 INCREASED BY 11.5% YOY - BANCHERO COSTA
2022 has turned out to be a very positive year for crude oil trade, despite the surging oil prices and risks of economic recession, Banchero Costa ...
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- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- White Energy Company Limited
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
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