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Wednesday, 18 January 23
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 From Feb 5, another price cap will be introduced to Russian fuels and oil products, adding to the one for crude oil, already in place from Dec. 3. The G7, along with the EU are trying different ways to put more pressure on Russia’s budget, targeting this time the fuel exports like diesel and naphtha.
This time, the ban will be different, and it is expected to be a lot more complicated than the one regarding oil. There are going to be two caps, one for the products that are being traded lower than the crude oil and one for those that are being traded higher, with the exact price still to be decided.
Regarding Europe, the bloc will have to find alternatives to the Russian supplies which is around 1mbd with almost 0.5mbd being diesel. Thus, it expected that the trade for such fuels, being transported with smaller vessels (MR/LR) to increase and possibly the freight to follow.
Regarding whom supplies the EU with fuel, the bloc imported 220mbd for diesel-type products in 2022 from Russia. The 1mbd of products deficit will most probably be covered by Middle East, India, and the US, with Abhu Dhabi National Oil Co. already dealing to supply Germany with diesel. Additionally, another player that will play a major role in the availability of oil products is China and their policies regarding refining and exports will shape the trade, by either freeing up cargoes for Europe or sending fuels directly to the EU.
Another factor that will play a major role in the prices of products is where Russia will redirect its exports and if they can find enough non-EU buyers. Most probably, the exports will be heading to Latin America countries and Africa. Moreover, since both China and India have big refining industries, the trade becomes a lot more complex and different as Russia will be competing with them for exports.
From Russia’s perspective, the capping of oil products will be more painful than the one in crude oil, since oil producers did not have real problems finding either vessels or buyers to transport and import Russian crude. Although Russian crude is being sold in discount and high rates squeeze the profit margins, increasing the overall export of crude to compensate for the products, is a possibility. What this means is that tankers like Suezmax, VLCC and Aframax vessels may see an increase in demand as Russia is increasing its oil output and exports. The logistics of the crude oil trade are considered a lot simpler than that of products and large crude tankers can reach Russia’s clients more easily than smaller product vessels.
From a shipping perspective, it is worth watching closely how the trade unfolds from now on. As we mentioned earlier, the US and Middles East will be the new suppliers of Europe and thus, it is expected for these routes to increase in value and consequently push rates higher. The same is expected for the trades between Russia and Africa or Latin America. We can understand that LR1 and LR2 vessels will see a rise in the demand after the ban kicks in on Feb.5. If the assumption that Russia will increase crude oil exports, proves correct in the following months, we can expect the same to happen with larger crude carriers, provided that the Russian benchmark keeps selling at a discount.
By Fotis Kanatas
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 June 24
CHINA ACCOUNTS FOR 16.3% OF AUSTRALIA'S COAL EXPORTS, FOLLOWED BY INDIA 14.4% - BANCHERO COSTA
Global coal trade has really picked up pace in recent months, and is now fully back to pre-Covid levels says Banchero Costa in its latest report.
...
Wednesday, 12 June 24
LNG NEWBUILDING VALUES AT RECORD HIGH: 78 NEWBUILD ORDERS PLACED IN 2024, DOUBLING 2023 - VESON NAUTICAL
The number of LNG newbuilding orders have more than doubled from the same period last year where 34 orders were placed, compared to 78 in the first ...
Monday, 10 June 24
CHINA'S MAY COAL IMPORTS RISE 11% ON LOWER DOMESTIC OUTPUT - REUTERS
China’s imports of coal rose 11% in May from a year earlier, customs data and Reuters records showed on Friday, as lower domestic output this ...
Tuesday, 04 June 24
HOW DO WESTERN SANCTIONS ON RUSSIA IMPACT THE GLOBAL METALS, MINING AND COAL MARKETS - WOOD MACKENZIE
The geopolitical landscape for Russia, as a major supplier of various commodities, has undergone a dramatic transformation since the invasion of Uk ...
Friday, 22 March 24
CASE STUDY: DANGERS OF COAL CARGO - SKULD
Recently, a bulk cargo vessel carrying coal from South Africa to Singapore suffered a fatal accident, resulting in the deaths of three crew members ...
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Showing 21 to 25 news of total 6871 |
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- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
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