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Wednesday, 27 July 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 Amid the upcoming ban on Russian coal from the EU, which will be in full effect on August 10th, EU nations have been accelerating their coal imports as a direct reaction to the threat of a reduction in gas supply from Russia. The ban comes at a time when coal trade is already tight. As a result, thermal coal prices have been surging on the back of tight supply and geopolitical tensions.
Considering that the EU was importing approximately 35-40mn tonnes/year from Russia, these cargoes need to be supplied from elsewhere, namely US, Australia, South Africa, and Colombia. US accounts for the largest exporter of thermal coal to Europe at the moment, with exports surging to 11.2mn tonnes during 1H22, noting a 91.6% y-o-y increase. Amid intensified sanctions, US Government is exerting pressure on miners to increase production, therefore, trade flows from US to EU ports (mainly Netherlands and Germany) are expected to increase within 2H22.
High-quality Australian coal, on the other hand, is also benefiting from the surging demand in the EU. Imports from Australia surged to 10.2mn tonnes, marking a 27.8% y-o-y increase. For instance, thermal coal exports from Australia's Gladstone port in Queensland hit an 11-month high in June. Gladstone shipped 193,000 tonnes to the Netherlands, 76,400 tonnes to Poland, and 40,000 tonnes to Turkey. Trade flows from Australia, however, did not provide adequate relief as part of Australia’s production tied to long-term contracts.
Volumes from Colombia flowing to Europe recently are on an uptick. Although EU’s appetite for Colombian coal has declined during the past years, the country’s recovered production provided a steady flow of imports amid the current energy crunch, while more shipments are expected during the following months.
Lastly, South African coal has seen its exports recovering y-o-y amid the EU’s increased demand. However, the country’s issues with violence waves, logistics issues, and Covid-induced and weather-related disruptions in production have resulted in unpredictable trade flows. Given that the nation will be able to hold its export momentum, more shipments could be anticipated toward the EU during Q3.
In the meantime, new origins are emerging, like Tanzania, Kazakhstan, and Nigeria, which are being positively considered as a backup measure. EU buyers have started exploring them as a viable plan of action due to competitive prices and quality. Over the past 2 months, a few shipments have been imported to the EU from Tanzania and Kazakhstan at competitive prices compared to the US and South African coal. If imports increase, they will provide relief to thermal coal prices.
Thermal coal is now traded at the range of $400/mt compared to $130/mt the year before, marking a 300% y-o-y increase. With supply being already tight and demand rising from the EU, a supply/demand imbalance will continue to add pressure on thermal coal prices. Given the EU will manage to establish alternative coal resources, prices may soften in the medium term.
By Chara Georgousi
Research Analyst
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Yiannis Parganas
Tamara Apostolou
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 21 October 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The second wave of COVID-19 is now a reality; offices are closing again, and stricter rules and regulations are being implemented in public spaces. ...
Tuesday, 20 October 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.82 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 127.49 points Monday, up 0.82 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Tuesday, 20 October 20
BIMCO 'SHIPLEASE' TERM SHEET - WATSON FARLEY & WILLIAMS
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The ever-growing importance of sale and leaseback transactions as an alternative to financing ships by way of loan, makes ...
Friday, 16 October 20
KOMIPO ON BEHALF OF K GENCO'S INVITED BIDS FOR TOTAL 715,000 MT MIN. 5,700 NAR COAL FOR DECEMBER
COALspot.com: Korea Midland Power Co., Ltd (KOMIPO) on behalf of EWP, KOSPO, KOSEP and KOWEPO has issued an international tender for total 715,000& ...
Wednesday, 14 October 20
CHINA COKING COAL FUTURES RALLY ON REPORTED BAN ON AUSTRALIA CARGOES - REUTERS
Dalian coking coal futures rallied for a sixth straight session on Tuesday after reports surfaced that China had stopped buying coal from Australia ...
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- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Planning Commission, India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Coal Association
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The University of Queensland
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
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