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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Monday, 18 April 22
DEMAND FOR THERMAL COAL TO RISE DUE TO INCREASE IN ELECTRICITY DEMAND: INDIAN COAL MINISTRY - PTI
Coal block allocatees have a golden opportunity to augment production as the demand for thermal coal will rise due to an increase in electricity de ...
Tuesday, 05 April 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE HITS RECORD ABOVE $288
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for April in a steep climb from March 2022.
As expected, Russia – Ukraine war dr ...
Thursday, 31 March 22
CHINA STATE PLANNER ASKS COAL INDEX PROVIDERS TO RECTIFY IRREGULARITIES - REUTERS
China’s state planner has asked some major coal price index providers to rectify “severe irregularities” it had identified in the ...
Thursday, 31 March 22
IMPORTED COAL PRICES TO JUMP 55% IN APR-JUN, IMPACT INDIAN FIRMS: ICRA - LIVEMINT
Supply disruption owing to the Russia-Ukraine conflict could push the price of imported coal by 45-55% in Q1FY23 compared to the previous quarter, ...
Thursday, 31 March 22
CHINA'S COAL OUTPUT SET FOR MODERATE GROWTH IN 2022 - INDUSTRY BODY - REUTERS
China is expected to see its coal output to grow further in 2022 after hitting a record last year, an industry body forecast on Wednesday, as the c ...
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- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PTC India Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
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