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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Saturday, 11 June 22
AIMTEK INTERNATIONAL CONFERENCE AND AWARDS
Press Release: The prestigious AIMTEK International Conference and Awards concluded successfully on June 7th, 2022 at Radisson Blu, Yas Island Abu ...
Thursday, 26 May 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The newbuilding market activity has been significantly positive from a dry bulk owner perspective during the first half of 2022. Indeed, the contra ...
Wednesday, 18 May 22
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE DROPPED 4.42% IN MAY
COALspot.com: Indonesian Coal Price Reference for May delivery drops 4.42 per cent month on month.
The Indonesian Coal Price Referen ...
Thursday, 12 May 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Almost through half of the year, the overall shipping market continues to show signs of healthiness, after plenty of festivities and holidays that ...
Wednesday, 27 April 22
EUROPEAN UNION'S LNG IMPORTS - BANCHERO COSTA
In 2021, the European Union (27) was the third largest seaborne importer of LNG in the world, with a 15.8% share.
It followed Mainla ...
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- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- PTC India Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Planning Commission, India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
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