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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Thursday, 30 June 22
INVESTMENT IN GLOBAL COAL SUPPLY CHAIN TO HIT $115 BN IN 2022, LED BY CHINA AND INDIA - BUSINESS LINE
At over $80 billion, China and India are anticipated to make up the bulk of global coal investment in 2022, says IEA.
The investment ...
Wednesday, 29 June 22
LNG MARKET REMAINS TIGHT - INTERMODAL
LNG market remains tight currently, mainly driven by the US LNG outage from the recent fire in Freeport LNG terminal together with the recent fall ...
Wednesday, 29 June 22
CHINA'S NEW PLAN FOR RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT FOCUSES ON CONSUMPTION - FITCH RATINGS
China’s focus on consumption penetration for renewable energy development in its recently released 14th five-year plan – 2021 to 2025 & ...
Wednesday, 29 June 22
APAC CORPORATE SECTOR OUTLOOKS SHIFT AMID GLOBAL SHOCKS - FITCH RATINGS’
Fitch Ratings’ mid-2022 corporate sector outlook review revealed that the Asia-Pacific (APAC) region saw the largest number of sector outlook ...
Thursday, 16 June 22
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Picking up from my last insight in March, on the early days of the invasion, it's worth pointing out the way that the fast-paced working enviro ...
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- PTC India Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
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