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Thursday, 10 February 22
EIA ANALYSIS CONSIDERS DIFFERENT OUTCOMES FOR COAL MARKETS IN INDIA AND SOUTHEAST ASIA
 In our International Energy Outlook 2021 (IEO2021) Issues in Focus: Uncertainty in Coal Trade in India and Greater Southeast Asia, we analyze three cases for coal markets in India and Greater Southeast Asia (GSEA), which highlight the role that varying levels of coal production and trade play in the regions’ carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions and electricity generation mix.
In our Low Coal Demand case, we assume policy or technology changes that result in 33% less coal demand between 2030 and 2050 in the industrial and power sectors of India and GSEA. As a result of less coal demand in the regions, regional coal production grows less, and coal imports decrease. In the Low Coal Supply case, we assume a 50% increase in the cost of coal production, compared with the IEO2021 Reference case, and less available coal supply in India and GSEA. We assume the opposite (a 50% decrease in the cost of coal production) in the High Coal Supply case.
The level of CO2 emissions from coal are directly proportional to coal consumption in these cases. In the IEO2021 Reference case, which assumes no changes to current policies or technologies, coal consumption in India and GSEA reaches a combined 3.2 billion short tons in 2050, and resulting CO2 emissions reach 5.6 billion metric tons.
We project India and GSEA coal demand and emissions in 2050 to differ from the Reference case:
Low Coal Demand case, 33% less consumption
Low Coal Demand case, 32% less emissions
Low Coal Supply case, 15% less consumption
Low Coal Supply case, 13% less emissions
High Coal Supply case, 15% more consumption
High Coal Supply case, 13% more emissions
In all cases, we expect coal consumption and coal-related emissions in India and GSEA to grow from 2020 levels.
Although the electricity generated in India and GSEA in 2050 is fairly similar to what we forecast in the IEO2021 Reference case and in our three side cases, the share of generation by generation type varies.
In India, the Low Coal Demand and Low Coal Supply cases both show that renewable sources generate more electricity than in the Reference case; renewables account for 75% of the generation mix by 2050, compared with 67% in the Reference case. In the High Coal Supply case, coal’s share of India’s electricity mix increases to 28% in 2050, compared with 21% in the Reference case, while renewables account for a 60% share.
In GSEA, renewable sources do not displace coal, natural gas, and hydroelectric generation as much as in India. In the Reference case, renewables make up 23% of the generation mix in GSEA in 2050. That share increases to 39% in the Low Coal Demand case and drops to 16% in the High Coal Supply case. Coal has a 45% share of generation in the Reference case and a 58% share in 2050 in the High Coal Supply case.
Source: EIA
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Wednesday, 10 August 22
THE FUTURE OF COAL: EIGHT KEY THEMES FROM THE GLOBAL COAL FORUM - WOOD MACKENZIE
Coal investors face a multi-layered and unavoidable challenge: markets distorted by war, trade constraints and the existential threat of the energy ...
Saturday, 06 August 22
SUMITOMO Q1 PROFIT RISES 45% ON STRONGER PRICES OF COAL, NICKEL - REUTERS
Japanese trading house Sumitomo Corp 8053.T said on Wednesday its net profit for the April-June quarter rose 45% to a record thanks to higher price ...
Saturday, 06 August 22
GERMANY'S ENERGY U-TURN: COAL INSTEAD OF GAS - DEUTSCHE WELLE
Berlin has realized it will never again import as much energy from Russia as before the Ukraine war. So the challenge is to wean Germany off its de ...
Saturday, 30 July 22
NUANCES OF FORCE MAJEURE CLAUSE - BALTIC EXCHANGE
Knowledge to Elevate
In NKD Maritime Limited v. Bart Maritime (No 2) Inc (Shagang Giant) [2022] EWHC 1615 (Comm), Bart Maritime (No 2) Inc (th ...
Saturday, 30 July 22
AEMO URGES QUICKER SHIFT TO RENEWABLES AMID COAL FAILURES AND SOARING FOSSIL FUEL COSTS
The Australian Energy Market Operator has called for an accelerated shift to wind and solar, backed up by batteries and other storage, as a devasta ...
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- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Planning Commission, India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
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