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Thursday, 28 January 21
STRONG CHINESE THERMAL COAL IMPORTS TO BENEFIT INDONESIAN MINERS IN THE NEAR TERM - FITCH RATINGS
 China's thermal coal imports are likely to remain strong ahead of the Chinese New Year in mid-February on robust demand, high utilisation at domestic suppliers and exceptionally high local prices, says Fitch Ratings. Indonesian coal miners are benefitting as the country is the biggest exporter of thermal coal to China. This also comes amid China's political tensions with its second-largest supplier Australia.
China's coal imports surged to 39.08 million tonnes in December 2020 from 2.77 million tonnes a year earlier, as Beijing relaxed a soft cap on import restrictions to ease supply constraints domestically amid an unusually cold winter, an uptick in economic activity, permit inspections in Inner Mongolia, and a soft cap on Australian coal imports. China's 2020 coal imports rose 1.4% to 304 million tonnes, the highest since 2014. Total thermal power generation rose by 6.6% and 9.2% yoy in November and December 2020, respectively.
China's coal production dropped by 0.1% yoy in 2020. Production in Inner Mongolia, the country's largest coal-producing province in 2019, fell by 3% yoy in 2020 despite the government's policy reversal in October to boost output ahead of the winter. Inner Mongolia's output subsequently rose by 9% yoy to a record high of 97.8 million tonnes in December 2020. The government in January 2021 also urged all coal producers to operate at maximum capacity as long as they can ensure mine safety.
We expect China's coal demand and imports to weaken after the Chinese New Year as temperatures rise and coal production normalises. CRU's analysis of vessel data shows that China's thermal coal imports in the first two weeks of January were already close to 70% of the volume in December 2020. CRU said the seaborne Newcastle 5,500kcal/kg free on board (FOB) coal price rose to a two-year high of USD62 by 26 January 2021 and the Chinese import price for thermal coal, 5,500kcal/kg CFR China, was USD85/tonne, a deep discount to the domestic Qinhuangdao 5,500 kcal/kg FOB price of USD131. Fitch remains bearish on the long-term coal price outlook amid the global push towards carbon neutrality.
More stringent Covid-19 containment measures amid the resurgence of infections in northern China may raise seaborne demand by slowing the shipment of coal from central China to the Bohai Rim ports, according to CRU. Some cities have been asking truck drivers to provide negative Covid-19 test results several days before arriving. That said, we do not expect a repeat of the logistical disruption in early 2020 as local governments have become more sophisticated in implementing control measures to minimise the impact on economic activity.
There may also be a regional supply-demand imbalance, keeping coal prices elevated in the short term. The Chongqing municipal government recently ordered a permanent shutdown of local coal mines, including 11.5 million tonnes of capacity owned by Chongqing Energy Investment Group Co., Ltd. (BBB/Stable), by mid-2021. This is likely to tighten coal supply in the southwest region.
Indonesian coal miners are the major beneficiaries of strong Chinese imports. The Indonesian 4,200kcal/kg coal index rose to USD45/tonne in January 2021 from an average of USD26/tonne in the seven months to November 2020. The surge is likely to be short-lived, although Fitch expects a 2021 average price that is higher than 2020 at USD32.5/tonne.
Fitch also expects most Indonesian coal producers to ramp up 1Q21 production in response to the better demand and pricing as they had curtailed production or ceased operations in costlier mines in 2H20. However, the heavy rains and floods in some parts of Kalimantan - Indonesia's key-coal producing region - may hamper the efforts of some coal miners.
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Friday, 29 January 21
COAL EXPORTS FROM AUSTRALIA TO MAINLAND CHINA DECLINED BY -22.2% Y-O-Y IN 2020 - BANCHERO COSTA
In the 12 months of 2020, global seaborne coal trade declined by as much as -12.7% year-on-year, according to vessel tracking data from Refinitiv, ...
Friday, 29 January 21
OPEC+, COVID-19 AND ENERGY TRANSITION - 3 THEMES IMPACTING OIL MARKETS AND REFINING IN 2021 - WOOD MACKENZIE
Wood Mackenzie’s latest outlook report shows that the art of balancing oil markets and the refining sector in 2021 hinges upon three key them ...
Thursday, 28 January 21
WIND PROPULSION FOR DRY BULK CARRIERS - OLDENDORFF
Oldendorff Carriers (OC) has signed a Joint Development Project (JDP) with Anemoi Marine Technologies (Anemoi), Lloyd’s Register (LR) and Sha ...
Thursday, 28 January 21
BUMA PRICED A USD400 MILLION 7.75% 5-YEAR SENIOR NOTES
PT Delta Dunia Makmur Tbk. announced that its subsidiary, PT Bukit Makmur Mandiri Utama priced a USD400 million 5-year (non-callable 2-year)& ...
Wednesday, 27 January 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we have entered the era off renewable energies, all industries globally give max effort to minimize their carbon footprint and consequently thei ...
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The University of Queensland
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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