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Thursday, 28 January 21
STRONG CHINESE THERMAL COAL IMPORTS TO BENEFIT INDONESIAN MINERS IN THE NEAR TERM - FITCH RATINGS
 China's thermal coal imports are likely to remain strong ahead of the Chinese New Year in mid-February on robust demand, high utilisation at domestic suppliers and exceptionally high local prices, says Fitch Ratings. Indonesian coal miners are benefitting as the country is the biggest exporter of thermal coal to China. This also comes amid China's political tensions with its second-largest supplier Australia.
China's coal imports surged to 39.08 million tonnes in December 2020 from 2.77 million tonnes a year earlier, as Beijing relaxed a soft cap on import restrictions to ease supply constraints domestically amid an unusually cold winter, an uptick in economic activity, permit inspections in Inner Mongolia, and a soft cap on Australian coal imports. China's 2020 coal imports rose 1.4% to 304 million tonnes, the highest since 2014. Total thermal power generation rose by 6.6% and 9.2% yoy in November and December 2020, respectively.
China's coal production dropped by 0.1% yoy in 2020. Production in Inner Mongolia, the country's largest coal-producing province in 2019, fell by 3% yoy in 2020 despite the government's policy reversal in October to boost output ahead of the winter. Inner Mongolia's output subsequently rose by 9% yoy to a record high of 97.8 million tonnes in December 2020. The government in January 2021 also urged all coal producers to operate at maximum capacity as long as they can ensure mine safety.
We expect China's coal demand and imports to weaken after the Chinese New Year as temperatures rise and coal production normalises. CRU's analysis of vessel data shows that China's thermal coal imports in the first two weeks of January were already close to 70% of the volume in December 2020. CRU said the seaborne Newcastle 5,500kcal/kg free on board (FOB) coal price rose to a two-year high of USD62 by 26 January 2021 and the Chinese import price for thermal coal, 5,500kcal/kg CFR China, was USD85/tonne, a deep discount to the domestic Qinhuangdao 5,500 kcal/kg FOB price of USD131. Fitch remains bearish on the long-term coal price outlook amid the global push towards carbon neutrality.
More stringent Covid-19 containment measures amid the resurgence of infections in northern China may raise seaborne demand by slowing the shipment of coal from central China to the Bohai Rim ports, according to CRU. Some cities have been asking truck drivers to provide negative Covid-19 test results several days before arriving. That said, we do not expect a repeat of the logistical disruption in early 2020 as local governments have become more sophisticated in implementing control measures to minimise the impact on economic activity.
There may also be a regional supply-demand imbalance, keeping coal prices elevated in the short term. The Chongqing municipal government recently ordered a permanent shutdown of local coal mines, including 11.5 million tonnes of capacity owned by Chongqing Energy Investment Group Co., Ltd. (BBB/Stable), by mid-2021. This is likely to tighten coal supply in the southwest region.
Indonesian coal miners are the major beneficiaries of strong Chinese imports. The Indonesian 4,200kcal/kg coal index rose to USD45/tonne in January 2021 from an average of USD26/tonne in the seven months to November 2020. The surge is likely to be short-lived, although Fitch expects a 2021 average price that is higher than 2020 at USD32.5/tonne.
Fitch also expects most Indonesian coal producers to ramp up 1Q21 production in response to the better demand and pricing as they had curtailed production or ceased operations in costlier mines in 2H20. However, the heavy rains and floods in some parts of Kalimantan - Indonesia's key-coal producing region - may hamper the efforts of some coal miners.
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Wednesday, 03 February 21
INDONESIA TO EXPORT 395 MILLION TONS OF COAL IN 2021 - ESDM
Data from the Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources shows that, Indonesia is planning to produce 550 million Ton of coal in 2021 and as of t ...
Wednesday, 03 February 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
"2020 the year from hell for the entire world, had everything for shipowners. The introduction of the sulphur cap and VLSFO, a Pandemic outbre ...
Tuesday, 02 February 21
WILL THE ELECTRONIC B/L BE FULLY IMPLEMENTED? FIVE POINTS TO CONSIDER - MOL
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The trend towards digitization of Bills of Lading (B/L) has begun to attract attention in the trade and shipping industrie ...
Monday, 01 February 21
A 56,000-DWT OPEN MANILA WAS FIXED FOR A TRIP VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY CHINA AT $11,500 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize routes endured a week of slippage on rates, bringing the market back down to levels seen at the beginning of the month. D ...
Monday, 01 February 21
PAKISTAN: COAL DEMAND EXPECTED TO SPIKE IN 2021 - DAWN
Coal demand is expected to remain upbeat in 2021 as more coal-fired and captive power plants are coming up in the current year.
Acco ...
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- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
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