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Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
 High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power shortfalls seen recently in parts of the country are unlikely to drive large-scale shifts in investment plans, as the problems reflect weak peak-load flexibility rather than structural power shortages.
Total power consumption rose 9.4% yoy in November 2020, according to the China Electricity Council, and peak loads have reached record levels for many regional grids. Demand for power has been supported by robust economic growth, but also by unusually cold conditions that have bolstered demand for heating.
A variety of supply factors have also contributed to the power shortages. In areas such as Hunan, renewables contributions, particularly from hydropower, have been weak as a result of weather conditions. Regulatory pressures to curb thermal power carbon dioxide emissions in order to meet targets under the 13th Five Year Plan (ending in 2020) have also played a role in regions like Zhejiang.
Coal market dynamics have aggravated the situation. The government’s supply-side reform agenda has sought to improve the underlying stability of domestic coal markets by trimming excess supply, but in the near term this has reduced capacity to meet spikes in demand. Supplies have been dented further by tougher mining permit reviews and safety checks in Inner Mongolia, an important production region, and the impact of cold weather on transport systems and production in northern China.
Restrictions on imports of thermal coal from Australia may also have played a role at the margin. Such imports are small relative to total demand, and China has increased coal imports from other producers like Indonesia, but the curbs may have increased the vulnerability of local coal prices to demand spikes.
Meanwhile, in some provinces gas-fired power plants have failed to play their usual role in smoothing peak-load adjustments, as gas supplies were prioritised for heating in northern China. Gas-fired power’s contribution to generation has risen in January as additional gas has been sourced for heating, easing supply constraints.
There is no fuel-cost pass-through for coal. High energy prices will thus dampen near-term profitability among generating companies (gencos) with greater reliance on coal. This could affect Fitch-rated companies such as China Huaneng Group (A/Stable), China Huadian Corporation (A/Stable), State Power Investment Corporation (A/Stable), Guangdong Energy Group (A/Stable) and Zhejiang Provincial Energy (A/Stable). However, strong demand should raise capacity utilisation and reduce the price discount on market-traded power, offsetting the impact slightly.
Upstream producers such as Yanzhou Coal (BB-/Rating Watch Positive) and the three national oil companies should benefit from these same dynamics. However, we still expect coal prices to trend lower in the longer term, as the government remains committed to reducing coal’s share in the national energy mix.
The State Council stated on 8 January that development of natural gas and coal storage facilities, and emergency back-up power systems, would be accelerated. We have already budgeted high levels of capex for most power gencos in the medium term, focused mostly on renewable energy, and do not expect to change our forecasts significantly owing to the recent disruption. In addition, we do not expect substantial additional investment in LNG storage, but believe the government will accelerate approvals for new gas storage facilities and slow the phase-out of coal-fired power plants.
The government may also encourage provinces with power shortages to make greater use of imports, which could benefit issuers from surplus regions like Gansu Province Electric Power Investment (BBB-/Stable). Inter-provincial ultra-high-voltage distribution lines are available, but have been underutilised during the current situation as the supporting coal-fired power has not been available.
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Monday, 29 March 21
MOODY'S: OUTLOOK FOR GLOBAL METALS AND MINING INDUSTRY TURNS POSITIVE ON HIGHER EBITDA IN PANDEMIC'S WAKE
- Demand for steel, iron ore and copper will rise, while aluminum, nickel and zinc will remain in surplus
- EBITDA is expected to ...
Thursday, 25 March 21
'OMNIBUS LAW' REGULATION ON INDONESIA’S ENERGY AND MINING SECTORS TO BOOST COAL PROCESSING BUT ALSO RAISES QUESTIONS - ABNR
February 2021 saw the issuance of a raft of new government regulations to give effect to the reformist Job Creation Law (colloquially known as the ...
Thursday, 25 March 21
PROPOSED SWITCH FROM COAL TO LNG THREATENS RENEWABLE ENERGY DEVELOPMENT IN ASIA - IEEFA
Renewables offer an ever cheaper, financially sustainable and energy secure alternative, better able to support developing nations
A ...
Thursday, 25 March 21
MAJOR INVESTMENT ADVISORS BLACKROCK AND MEKETA PROVIDE A FIDUCIARY PATH THROUGH THE ENERGY TRANSITION - IEEFA
BlackRock and Meketa say divestment from fossil fuels improves, not weakens, investment returns
Two major financial management firms ...
Thursday, 25 March 21
EUROPE PASSES MILESTONE WITH HALF OF COAL PLANTS CLOSED OR SET TO RETIRE BY 2030 - EURACTIV
Half of Europe’s 324 coal-fueled power plants have either closed or announced a retirement date before 2030, it emerged on Monday (22 March) ...
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- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Parliament of New Zealand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
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