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Wednesday, 13 January 21
CHINA THERMAL GENCO PROFITS FACE PRESSURE AMID POWER SHORTAGES - FITHCH WIRE
 High coal and gas prices will put near-term pressure on margins for thermal power generators in China, says Fitch Ratings. However, the power shortfalls seen recently in parts of the country are unlikely to drive large-scale shifts in investment plans, as the problems reflect weak peak-load flexibility rather than structural power shortages.
Total power consumption rose 9.4% yoy in November 2020, according to the China Electricity Council, and peak loads have reached record levels for many regional grids. Demand for power has been supported by robust economic growth, but also by unusually cold conditions that have bolstered demand for heating.
A variety of supply factors have also contributed to the power shortages. In areas such as Hunan, renewables contributions, particularly from hydropower, have been weak as a result of weather conditions. Regulatory pressures to curb thermal power carbon dioxide emissions in order to meet targets under the 13th Five Year Plan (ending in 2020) have also played a role in regions like Zhejiang.
Coal market dynamics have aggravated the situation. The government’s supply-side reform agenda has sought to improve the underlying stability of domestic coal markets by trimming excess supply, but in the near term this has reduced capacity to meet spikes in demand. Supplies have been dented further by tougher mining permit reviews and safety checks in Inner Mongolia, an important production region, and the impact of cold weather on transport systems and production in northern China.
Restrictions on imports of thermal coal from Australia may also have played a role at the margin. Such imports are small relative to total demand, and China has increased coal imports from other producers like Indonesia, but the curbs may have increased the vulnerability of local coal prices to demand spikes.
Meanwhile, in some provinces gas-fired power plants have failed to play their usual role in smoothing peak-load adjustments, as gas supplies were prioritised for heating in northern China. Gas-fired power’s contribution to generation has risen in January as additional gas has been sourced for heating, easing supply constraints.
There is no fuel-cost pass-through for coal. High energy prices will thus dampen near-term profitability among generating companies (gencos) with greater reliance on coal. This could affect Fitch-rated companies such as China Huaneng Group (A/Stable), China Huadian Corporation (A/Stable), State Power Investment Corporation (A/Stable), Guangdong Energy Group (A/Stable) and Zhejiang Provincial Energy (A/Stable). However, strong demand should raise capacity utilisation and reduce the price discount on market-traded power, offsetting the impact slightly.
Upstream producers such as Yanzhou Coal (BB-/Rating Watch Positive) and the three national oil companies should benefit from these same dynamics. However, we still expect coal prices to trend lower in the longer term, as the government remains committed to reducing coal’s share in the national energy mix.
The State Council stated on 8 January that development of natural gas and coal storage facilities, and emergency back-up power systems, would be accelerated. We have already budgeted high levels of capex for most power gencos in the medium term, focused mostly on renewable energy, and do not expect to change our forecasts significantly owing to the recent disruption. In addition, we do not expect substantial additional investment in LNG storage, but believe the government will accelerate approvals for new gas storage facilities and slow the phase-out of coal-fired power plants.
The government may also encourage provinces with power shortages to make greater use of imports, which could benefit issuers from surplus regions like Gansu Province Electric Power Investment (BBB-/Stable). Inter-provincial ultra-high-voltage distribution lines are available, but have been underutilised during the current situation as the supporting coal-fired power has not been available.
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Wednesday, 07 April 21
KOMIPO ISSUED A TENDER FOR TOTAL 1,560,000 METRIC TONS OF BITUMINOUS COAL
COALspot.com: South Korea state-owned utility Korea Midland Power (KOMIPO) issued a tender for total 1,560,000 Metric Tons of Bituminous coal for i ...
Wednesday, 07 April 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Following the end of the catholic easter, during which the majority of shipping market participants were on holidays, it is interesting to note a f ...
Wednesday, 07 April 21
COAL USED TO GENERATE ELECTRIC POWER IN U.S. WILL INCREASE BY 13 PERCENT TO 495 MMST IN 2021 - EIA
EIA expects U.S. coal production to total 585 MMst in 2021, 46 MMst (9%) more than in 2020. In 2022, EIA expects coal production to grow by an addi ...
Wednesday, 31 March 21
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.12 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 139.03 points Monday, up 0.12 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
Wednesday, 31 March 21
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Over the past week, the biggest story has been the blockage of the Suez Canal, as a result of the grounding of the container ship Ever Given. At th ...
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- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Planning Commission, India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
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