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Wednesday, 04 November 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 As the end of the year approaches, one would definitely notice that the newbuilding orderbook for bulk carriers is significantly smaller compared to the levels of the same period last year; a year where newbuilding orders were also down compared to the year before.
Starting with the Handysize sector, a total number of 109 units are on order compared to the 127 units for the same period last year (5% vs 4% today in terms of orderbook to fleet ratio). In the Supra-Ultra segment, 233 ships were on order last year vs 188 units until today (5% of the fleet today vs 7% the year before). Moreover, regarding Panamax-Kamsarmax front is concerned, from a total orderbook of 193 ships last year, the current one now consists of 121 ships (9% vs 5% today). Finally, the orderbook of Capes/Newcastlemax stands today at 126 units vs 201 ships during the same period last year (7% and 12% of the existing fleet respectively).
Although the slow newbuilding contracting activity is evident and welcomed by all dry bulk ship owners, it is very interesting to undergo a more detailed research of the reasons that led to the above slump of orders. Initially, the fresh capital that used to come from investors, who are not directly related to the shipping industry, has dried up. With returns falling below expectations or being negative, the appetite for participation in newbuilding projects has gradually decreased.
Another reason is the absence of a breakthrough technology that would bring a meaningful improvement in new building designs, which are pretty much the same during the past 5 years. Notwithstanding that the most important “known- unknown” is still the next modus of propulsion. As a result, the shipping industry’s “divided” view on the commercial and long-term implementation feasibility of ESG in maritime transportation remains present, with shipping participants unable to reach a consensus on what type of fuel will the next generation ships use. Hence several owners adopt a “wait and see” approach while monitoring the new developments in the sector.
In addition to the above, another important reason why newbuilding orders are low, is definitely the low price of 5-yrs old ships compared to newbuilding prices. Ship builders are more inelastic on prices compared to the prices of modern second hand units which in today’s dynamic SnP market fluctuate in line with the freight market that has been extremely volatile over the past two years. Consequently, a significant amount of SnP transactions of modern ships have materialized. Specifically, 44 ships less or equal to 5-yrs old have been sold during 2019 and 44 in 2020 so far with prices mainly trading at a discount over newbuilding prices, which is as a disincentive for owners to order new ships.
All in all, bearing in mind all the above and in combination with the current low fleet-orderbook ratio, it seems that dry bulk owners should stop worrying about the supply of new ships, and focus on how many ships exit the market for recycling. That being said, an increase in scrapping activity will definitely boost freight rates further, and a bull market might be just around the corner.
By Ilias M. Lalaounis
SnP Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 25 November 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
Over 90% of the world’s goods are transported by sea. LPG is a clean, energy efficient and portable fuel that is being marketed at an afforda ...
Friday, 20 November 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - XINHUA
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
Thursday, 19 November 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
As we are moving towards the end of the year, the overall deal landscape of the dry bulk sector corresponding to the second half of 2020 (up to dat ...
Tuesday, 17 November 20
COAL SQUEEZE INTENSIFIES - BALTIC EXCHANGE
The message from the top is clear: cut out coal. While the regulatory pressure has been evident for some time, the race to banish the black stuff s ...
Tuesday, 17 November 20
CHINA TAIYUAN COAL TRANSACTION PRICE INDEX UP 0.35 PCT - XINHUA
China Taiyuan coal transaction price index stood at 128.72 points Monday, up 0.35 percent week on week.
The index, released by China ...
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- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Australian Coal Association
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The University of Queensland
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Economic Council, Georgia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
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