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Wednesday, 05 August 20
SLUMP IN OIL REVENUE CHALLENGES MIDDLE EAST OIL EXPORTERS - INTERMODAL
 The Covid-19 pandemic has had far-reaching consequences on the global capital markets. Despite the US government’s efforts for a quick and decisive response to Covid-19, unemployment rates rocketed to unprecedented figures. This was a key contributor to the near one-third shrinkage of the economy. Driving restrictions within the US and the decline in countrywide GDP have adversely affected gasoline and oil demand throughout the nation.
Being one of the most predominant global crude oil consumers, South Korea has seen its exports plummet to significant lows. This is likely to cause a nationwide recession which will further reduce global demand for oil. Chinese oil demand has gradually softened thus reducing the price per oil barrel in Asia. At the same time, derivative markets which add value to North Sea crude oil grades, are in a frail state.
The oil consumption outlook does not appear to be any better in Europe, with Finnish refiner Neste Oyj predicting that demand for oil products will remain “severely reduced” in the third quarter. Despite the recent historic deal between OPEC+ nations to cut global oil output, crude oil remains priced at around $40/barrel. Energy analyst C. Markits predicts an average price of $43/barrel for Brent in July; this figure may rise to $50 by December provided that oil demand will begin to recover. However, this is just one of many highly speculative scenarios.
The IMF argues that plunging crude prices coupled with global production cuts are expected to significantly affect oil exporters in the Middle East and North Africa. Combined oil income for these exporting regions is projected to decrease by $270 billion y-o-y from 2019. According to S&P Global Ratings, country members of the Gulf Cooperation Council are set to accumulate a combined $490 billion in government deficits between 2020 and 2023.
Responses to the economic shock
Saudi Arabia tripled its VAT in the past month in an effort to reverse the deficit and revive its economy. This is expected to reduce its deficit by $27 billion. At the same time, the government announced the suspension of cost-of-living allowances for its employees. Additionally, several governmental operational and capital expenditures will either be cancelled, extended, or postponed whereas major projects will materialize under strictly reduced provisions. Saudi Arabia plans to privatize state-held assets in healthcare, education and water utility sectors to raise additional funds. Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan argued at a Bloomberg forum that Arabian exporters could receive billions from such privatizations over the next five years.
Kuwait - which is one of the world’s wealthiest countries - is also facing a severe budget crunch. After having a running deficit that could reach 40 per cent of its economy this year, the Kuwaiti Finance Ministry is seeking permission from parliament to tap global debt markets for as much as $65 billion. However, Kuwait’s options are limited. The General Reserve Fund has been used aggressively in recent months. This has left its liquid assets in a vulnerable state and they could be further depleted within the current fiscal year, or by April 2021.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 06 July 20
INDONESIAN COAL PRICE REFERENCE IN FREE FALL
COALspot.com: The Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of the Republic of Indonesia has revised down again the benchmark price of Indonesian th ...
Monday, 06 July 20
SUPRAMAX: A 58,000-DWT FIXING DELIVERY VIETNAM TRIP VIA INDONESIA RE-DELIVERY WEST INDIA IN THE LOW $4,000S
Capesize
The Capesize market continues to go from strength to strength, as rates reach highs not seen since September last year. The rally is p ...
Thursday, 02 July 20
PRIVATE COAL MINING MAY SEE WEAK INVESTOR SENTIMENT: ICRA - LIVEMINT
The prospects of commercial coal mining in India may be dimmer than initially expected because of the expected shift in India’s energy mix fr ...
Wednesday, 01 July 20
THERMAL COAL OPTIONS TRADING LAUNCHED IN CHINA'S ZHENGZHOU - XINHUA
Thermal coal options started trading on the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) in central China’s Henan Province Tuesday.
It i ...
Wednesday, 01 July 20
COLOMBIA'S COAL EXPORT VOLUMES HAVE STEADILY DECLINED IN RECENT YEARS - BANCHERO COSTA
Colombia is the world’s fifth largest seaborne exporter of coal, coming after Australia, Indonesia, Russia and the USA.
Export ...
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Australian Coal Association
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- The University of Queensland
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Planning Commission, India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
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