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Monday, 06 April 20
INDIA'S 21-DAY LOCKDOWN - IMPACT ON COMMODITIES? - WOOD MACKENZIE
 India is under a three-week lockdown from 25 March, to contain the spread of the coronavirus outbreak. Wood Mackenzie analysts discuss what this means for the power, coal, gas and LNG, and oil products sectors.
Impact on power and coal demand
Principal analyst Pralabh Bhargava said: “India’s power demand has declined on average 30% year-on-year (yoy) and 25% week-on-week basis on 28 March. Demand from the industrial and commercial sectors are already falling. Load shape is moving to residential from industrial due to teleworking and home-schooling. We expect an average overall power demand decline of 35% until 14 April and a progressive recovery thereafter.
“Coal stocks at power plants and mines reached record highs of 40 million tonnes (Mt) and 60 Mt by 25 March, and many are already rejecting shipments from Coal India. This situation is due to lower thermal coal demand over the last 15 days and robust production in recent months.
“Movement of imported coal will be restricted due to constraints at ports and infrastructure. We expect the Force Majeure announced by port operators to have a limited impact on coal imports, as it is considered an ‘essential’ service.”
Impact on gas and LNG
Senior analyst Vidur Singhal said: “The transport and industrial sectors have been impacted. The average daily gas consumption across sectors stood at around 151 mmcm/d (million cubic metres per day) in 2019. We expect about 18-20% reduction in daily gas demand post lockdown. Also, demand from refineries and fertiliser plants, and anchor gas customers, have reduced in line with their utilisation rates with significant downside risk if the lockdown is extended.
“Gas aggregators are in a tight spot. LNG buyers declared Force Majeure once port operations stopped. Regas terminals were oversupplied heading into the lockdown as all major buyers procured low-priced spot volumes in advance. Even long-term LNG volumes are at risk as demand shrinks.”
Impact on oil products demand and refining
Research analyst Qiaoling Chen said: “We estimate that gasoline, jet fuel, and diesel demand will be down by 25%, 33%, and 13% yoy respectively in the second quarter while fuel oil, refinery gas demand will decline by 8%, 20% respectively at the same time.
“Overall, total demand is expected to decline by 871,000 barrels per day (b/d) (-17%) yoy in April. The negative impact is likely to last through Q2 2020 with most oil products returning to normal growth in the third quarter of this year except for jet fuel demand, which is expected to return to normal growth only in the first quarter of next year.”
On refining, research analyst Kendrick Ng said: “Refiners are reducing runs in response to lower oil products demand and weakness in refining margins. We estimate that the country will process about 800,000 b/d less crude in April, month-on-month basis, resulting in about 17% decline in the utilisation rate.
“Indian PSUs (public sector undertaking) are expected to be hurt the most amid tepid domestic demand, high storage level and lesser access to export markets, especially inland refineries.”
Source: Wood Mackenzie
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Tuesday, 31 March 20
COAL POWER REMAINS IN GLOBAL DECLINE, DESPITE CHINESE SURGE - SYDNEY MORNING HERALD
The impact of coronavirus has prompted a surge in coal-fired power plant construction permits in China, with the Chinese government issuing more pe ...
Monday, 30 March 20
CORONAVIRUS - IMPLICATIONS FOR SHIPS AND CREW - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Countries around the world are strengthening their border control measures in order to prevent the further spread of COVI ...
Monday, 30 March 20
LAY-UP AND RE-ACTIVATION REVISITED - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
The COVID-19 pandemic has affected the maritime industry in previously unthinkable ways. Ports around the world are denyi ...
Monday, 30 March 20
PANAMAX: INDONESIA LACKED VOLUME, PARTLY DUE TO FORCE MAJEURE IN INDIAN PORTS - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
As Covid-19 continued to ratchet up tensions across the globe, the Cape market dealt with the change to remote working. Most regions o ...
Saturday, 28 March 20
ASIA'S COAL MARKETS DIVERGE ON QUALITY LINES AS CORONAVIRUS HITS INDIA - REUTERS
Asia’s seaborne coal market is increasingly diverging between higher-quality Australian coal, where prices are holding up despite the economi ...
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- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Planning Commission, India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- The University of Queensland
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
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