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Wednesday, 25 March 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 There is no doubt that the Covid-19 pandemic crisis is a world-shattering event that will change the world as we know it. Societies are facing challenging moments, markets have been violently disrupted and it will become even more visible later on that governments around the world will experience major shifts in their respective political and economic power.
As we have already witnessed, Brent prices are experiencing their lowest levels in 17 years, closing at $27.2 per barrel last Friday, whereas West Texas Intermediate crude (WTI) closed at $23 per barrel. According to Goldman Sachs analysts, the price of Brent, which is the international benchmark, “could dip as low as $20 per barrel and test operational stress levels”.
A week ago, Bank of America warned that the US is close to a new major recession due to the worldwide spread of the Covid-19. Simultaneously, oil producing countries keep on increasing their production at record levels amidst a price war between Russia and Saudi Arabia, after OPEC+ (OPEC and Russia) failed to come to a consensus over additional production cuts. Official selling prices lowered by as much as 20% have been also used as “weapons” in this price war.
At the moment, global demand for oil hovers around 100 million barrels per day. Yet, as consumption is gradually decreasing due to the tremendous economic shake of the COVID-19 and the subsequent containment measures, demand could possibly plunge an additional 20% according to some first estimations. The final outcome of this crisis still remains unknown; however, certain analysts reassure that some more optimistic scenarios are possible to play out. According to Andreas de Vries, advisor at Saudi Aramco, the successful containment policies against the Covid-19 pandemic and the implementation of stimulus packages could stem the secondary and tertiary effects on the economy.
The oil market status quo calls for an a pragmatic resolution aiming to terminate the price war. Nevertheless, a termination of the price war will not be able to push prices back to $60 plus per barrel, with levels around $40 seeming more realistic if major producers come to an agreement. As de Vries highlights, even in the best-case scenario, the average crude price will still remain considerably below what most producing countries need in order to successfully balance their respective budgets. Indeed, the extent of the virus containment measures that are currently being implemented will affect to a massive degree a number of sectors that are heavyweights for the economies of many of the producing nations, like tourism for example.
At the same time there is a growing number of voices that warns for a series of major economic consequences, with the worst-case scenario being a global economy devastated by a wave of continuous bankruptcies. We are seeing significant economic stimulus announced around the world, with the U.S. expected to reach soon a deal on a $2 trillion coronavirus aid, but the effectiveness of the implementation of these packages remains uncertain at this stage. A failure of these stimulus measures to support vital sectors of the economies around the world will lead to a prolonged crisis that could prove worse than the big downturn of 2008, but for now let’s remain reservedly optimistic and hope it doesn’t come to that.
By Apostolos Rompopoulos
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 28 June 24
INDIAN POWER STATIONS STOCKED WITH BUMPER COAL SUPPLY AS TRANSPORT WOES EASE - BUSINESS STANDARD
Even as power demand has touched a historic high of 250 gigawatts (Gw) amid sweltering heat this June, India’s power stations are stocked wit ...
Friday, 28 June 24
INDIA'S CY23 COAL USE LARGER THAN NORTH AMERICA, EUROPE COMBINED - THE HINDU
For the first time, India’s coal consumption surpassed that of North America and Europe combined in the calendar year 2023, said Energy Insti ...
Monday, 24 June 24
PLN'S FINANCIAL SUSTAINABILITY RESTS ON ACCELERATED COAL RETIREMENT AND RENEWABLES DEPLOYMENT - MUTYA YUSTIKA
On 28 May 2024, Indonesia’s national electricity utility, PT Perusahaan Listrik Negara (PLN), released its financial report for 2023. Althoug ...
Monday, 24 June 24
INDIA'S COAL-BASED POWER DEMAND AT ALL-TIME HIGH, GOVERNMENT SAYS - REUTERS
India’s demand for coal-based power has risen by 7.3% this fiscal year to an all-time high, the government said in a statement on Wednesday.
...
Monday, 24 June 24
CHINA'S COAL INDUSTRY TURNS GREENER THROUGH INNOVATIVE APPROACHES - PEOPLE'S DAILY
At an opencast mine operated by Inner Mongolia Pingzhuang Coal Group Co. Ltd., a subsidiary of CHN Energy Investment Group (CHN Energy), a 14-meter ...
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- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- The University of Queensland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Planning Commission, India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- MS Steel International - UAE
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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