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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 15 February 20
CHEN ZHIDA: NOVEL CORONAVIRUS - IMPLICATIONS FOR CHARTERPARTIES - SHIPOWNERS' CLUB
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Last month, the Club issued a bulletin on the 2019 Novel Coronavirus (COVID-19) which explained the origin of the virus a ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
AFRAMAX: A MORE POSITIVE ATTITUDE EXISTED IN THIS SECTOR WITH RATES IMPROVING ON ALL ROUTES - BALTIC BRIEFING
VLCC
The market in the Middle East was unmoved this week, with Chinese refiners continuing to slow imports, allied with the impact of the Coron ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
A 56,000DWT VESSEL WAS CONCLUDED BASIS DELIVERY SINGAPORE VIA INDONESIA REDELIVERY CHINA IN THE LOW $6,000S - BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
Riding the downward momentum of the previous week, the market was always going to be hard pressed to make any sort of revival. With mu ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
U.S. COAL PRODUCTION WILL TOTAL 595 MMST IN 2020, DOWN 14% FROM 2019 - EIA
EIA forecasts that U.S. coal production will total 595 million short tons (MMst) in 2020, down 95 MMst (14%) from 2019.
Lower ...
Friday, 14 February 20
WHY THE WORLD ECONOMY WILL BE FACING CHINA'S CORONAVIRUS FOR A LONG TIME - CNBC
Everywhere we look we see the headlines and commentators talking about the coronavirus and its impact on tourism, trade and investment between Chin ...
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- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parliament of New Zealand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Coal Association
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Planning Commission, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
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