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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 18 February 20
ADARO REMAINS POSITIVE ON THE LONG-TERM FUNDAMENTALS OF COAL MARKET SUPPORTED BY THE SOUTHEAST ASIA AND SOUTH ASIA REGION
The global seaborne thermal coal market in 2019 was faced with macro and industry challenges which pushed international coa ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
CORONAVIRUS AND ITS IMPACT ON YOUR CONTRACT - CAN YOU RELY ON 'FORCE MAJEURE'? - INCE
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
On 30 January 2020, the World Health Organization (WHO) declared that the outbreak of the Novel Coronavirus (officially t ...
Monday, 17 February 20
IMO-2020 SULPHUR CAP - ISSUES TO CONSIDER PRIOR TO THE IMPLEMENTATION OF THE CARRIAGE BAN ON 1 MARCH 2020 - STANDARD CLUB
With the IMO 2020 global sulphur cap now in force, members should bear in mind another significant date in relation to the ‘carriage ban&rsqu ...
Monday, 17 February 20
COVID-19: THE EFFECT OF THIS PUBLIC HEALTH EMERGENCY ON CHARTERPARTY TERMS - GARD
KNOWLEDGE TO ELEVATE
Is it useful to compare the COVID-19 with earlier disease outbreaks?
A comparison with the Ebola outbreak ...
Saturday, 15 February 20
CHINA'S BENCHMARK POWER COAL PRICE EDGES UP - REUTERS
China’s benchmark power coal price rose slightly during the past week.
The Bohai-Rim Steam-Coal Price Index (BSPI), a gauge of ...
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- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- PTC India Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Planning Commission, India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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