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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 12 February 20
COAL INDIA WILL EXCEED LAST YEAR'S PRODUCTION FIGURES: OFFICIAL - PTI
Despite coal production being hampered at Dipka mines due to prolonged rains, Coal India Ltd will exceed last year’s production figures, a to ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
CHANGES IN LNG MARKET COULD UNDERCUT PLANS FOR NEW JAPANESE COAL PLANTS - CLYDE RUSSELL
Reuters: Clyde Russell
The collapse in the spot price of liquefied natural gas (LNG) in Asia is a short-term phenomenon that may wel ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
THE SHIPPING INDUSTRY SEES FREIGHT MARKETS IN A COMPLETE STATE OF COLLAPSE AS DEMAND GETS PARALYZED DUE TO CORONAVIRUS OUTBREAK - ALLIED
With China and the world still trying to contain the effects and come to terms with the Wuhan novel coronavirus outbreak, the shipping industry see ...
Wednesday, 12 February 20
WORLD STEEL PRODUCTION IN 2019 - BANCHERO COSTA
In a worrying development, global steel production slowed down considerably in the fourth quarter of 2019. In the final 3 months of 2019, total cru ...
Sunday, 09 February 20
SUPRAMAX: THE ASIAN ARENA STRUGGLED, A 50,000DWT SHIP FIXING A COAL RUN FROM EAST KALIMANTAN TO INDIA AT $2,000 - THE BALTIC BRIEFING
Capesize
The Capesize market endured another dreadful week of calamitous rate level falls, as the usual season low Q1 period combined with rece ...
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- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Australian Coal Association
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
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