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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 19 February 20
MINERS WELCOME INDONESIA'S NEW JOBS BILL THAT COULD SPUR COAL GROWTH - REUTERS
Miners have welcomed proposed changes to Indonesian mining rules under a new law aimed at boosting investment, though critics are concerned that th ...
Wednesday, 19 February 20
AS OCEAN TEMPERATURES RISE, SHIPOWNERS LOOK FOR WAYS TO COPE - WARTSILA
The world is heating up, and its oceans are no exception. According to the International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), the oceans absorb the majo ...
Wednesday, 19 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
The coronavirus outbreak is estimated to negatively affect global economy by at least EUR400bn this year, representing around the 0.4% of global GD ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
WEEKLY MARKET ANALYSIS - ALLIED
Under such poorly performing market circumstances, many usually take the historical approach, in order to better understand and further analyze the ...
Tuesday, 18 February 20
ADARO SHIPPED 27 PERCENT OF ITS TOTAL COAL PRODUCTION IN 2019 TO INDIA AND CHINA
PT Adaro Energy Tbk (AE) produced 58.03 Mt of coal from PT Adaro Indonesia (AI), Balangan Coal Companies and Adaro Me ...
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- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
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