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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 05 December 11
SGX LAUNCHED IHS MCCLOSKEY/XINHUA INFOLINK OTC CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL CONTRACT TODAY
COALspot.com - In order to meet the demand of the coal industry for an effective coal hedging tool with counterparty credit risk mitigation facility ...
Monday, 05 December 11
DRY BULK RATES LOOKING TO EXTEND GAINS THIS WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Capesize dry bulk carrier owners have had a great week, with rates rising for six straight sessions (including the end of the week before that). As ...
Sunday, 04 December 11
SUPRAMAX TRIPS VIA INDONESIA WERE REPORTED AROUND $ 7500 - 8000 PD
COALspot.com - The BDI and Cape index recovered this week. The BDI was up by 3.26 pct and Cape index saw a big jump and closed at 3409 points (up by ...
Saturday, 03 December 11
BORNEO TO SPEND US$600 MIO CAPEX - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, Coking coal miner PT Borneo Lumbung Energi & Metal Tbk (BORN) plans to spend US$600 million capital expenditure ( ...
Friday, 02 December 11
DRY BULK CARRIERS BACK IN THE SPOTLIGHT AS MARKET SPEEDS UP - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the tanker and container markets suffering dearly, it seems that the tide has once again turned in favor of the dry bulk carriers, despite over ...
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- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Parliament of New Zealand
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Coal Association
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- The University of Queensland
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
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