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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 08 December 11
HAREDA KRIDA GETS CONTRACT FROM BAYAN - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, coal miner PT Bayan Resources Tbk (BYAN), through its subsidiary dubbed PT Gunungbayan Pratamacoal (GPB), has signed ...
Thursday, 08 December 11
CAPESIZES LIFT DRY BULK MARKET - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Capesize vessels yesterday helped lift the dry bulk market which had been falling since the start of the week on lower cargo demand. As a result the ...
Wednesday, 07 December 11
ABM INVESTAMA EYES RP6.3 TRIO REVENUE - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, an energy integrated company PT ABM Investama Tbk is eyeing a 1.5 folds increase in revenue this year from Rp4. ...
Tuesday, 06 December 11
DRY BULK MARKET ENDS RALLY, STARTS WEEK WITH FALL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
After a series of increases which saw the dry bulk market’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) increasing close to 1,900 points and rates o ...
Monday, 05 December 11
THE DECEMBER HBA FELL 11% FROM ITS PEAK AT US$127.05 PER TON IN FEBRUARY 2011
COALspot.com - Ministry of Energy and Mineral Resources of Indonesia has sets the December 2011 coal reference price at US$ 112.67 per ton US$ 3.98 ...
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- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Planning Commission, India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Australian Coal Association
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
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