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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 01 December 11
DRY BULK MARKET RISES TO NEW HEIGHTS ON RENEWED DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has kept on rising this week, with the industry’s benchmark, the Baltic Dry Index (BDI) climbing to 1,846 points on Wednes ...
Tuesday, 29 November 11
SOUTH AFRICAN COAL INTO CHINA, THE ACTIVITY WAS SLOW - BRS
Capesize
The Capesize market in Atlantic stayed pretty firm last week with transatlantic rounds being fixed in the high twenties. Sentiment was les ...
Tuesday, 29 November 11
GOLDEN GATE BRIDGE OF INDONESIA COLLAPSED AT KUKAR, EAST KALIMANTAN
COALspot.com - A suspension bridge in Indonesia’s east Kalimantan province over the Mahakam river collapsed on Saturday, killing at least elev ...
Tuesday, 29 November 11
BUKIT ASAM SCOUTS RP3 TRILLION PROFIT - INSIDER STORIES
The state-controlled coal miner PT Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) expects to post a Rp3 trillion net income this year, reaching its target which is 50% above ...
Tuesday, 29 November 11
DRY BULK MARKET BEGINS WEEK ON HIGHER NOTE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Contrary to what had been the case during the past few weeks, this one began on a high note for the dry bulk market, with the Capesize sector pullin ...
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- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
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