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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 12 December 11
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR BALANCE AS WE ENTER 2012 - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
During the past few months, freight rates for dry bulk carriers, especially Capesizes have increased significantly, providing ship owners with a muc ...
Sunday, 11 December 11
THE PANAMAX INDEX ENDED ON POSITIVE DIRECTION - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI and Cape index continued the upward trend this week also with BDI up by 3.00 pct closing at 1,922 points and Cape index up by ...
Saturday, 10 December 11
MAHAKAM RIVER RESUMES COAL TRANSPORTATION
COALspot.com - East Kalimantan local government has resumed limited coal barging through Mahakam River after two weeks of suspension following the c ...
Friday, 09 December 11
DRY BULK MARKET REBOUNDS ON HEALTHIER DEMAND OUTLOOK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market edged forward yesterday, at the highest rate of the past couple of weeks, as a result of stonger iron ore demand, backed by lowe ...
Thursday, 08 December 11
INDIA MAY SEE 41% ANNUAL GROWTH OF ITS COAL DEMAND DURING THE NEXT 5 YEARS - ICAP SHIPPING
India’s Ministry of Coal expects that India’s coal demand may face an annual 41% rise during the next 5 years, while its coal deficit is ...
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- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Australian Coal Association
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- The University of Queensland
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
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