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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
The Information contained within the website of COALspot.com is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as professional counsel and should not be used as such.
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Sunday, 22 January 12
FREIGHT MARKET DROPPED TO THE LOWEST LEVEL SINCE 2008
COALspot.com - "The markets continued to soften almost reaching 2008 levels breaking the 1,000 point mark", said Capt. Reddy of Vistaar Sh ...
Saturday, 21 January 12
ASIAS PREMIER COMPREHENSIVE OPEN CUT MINING CONFERENCE SCHEDULED FOR FEBRUARY 2012
As the only such conference in the region for miners and service providers, IBC Asia’s Open Cut Mine Planning & Operational Excellence con ...
Saturday, 21 January 12
COAL MARKETS CELEBRATES A DECADE OF BRINGING BUYERS & SELLERS TOGETHER
In 2012, IBC Asia’s premier Coal Markets conference series – Asia’s only globally focused coal import, export and supply chain eve ...
Saturday, 21 January 12
SAMIN TAN COMPLETES BUMI PLC TAKEOVER - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, Indonesian coking coal miner PT Borneo Lumbung Energi & Metal Tbk (BORN), that is controlled by stellar businessm ...
Thursday, 19 January 12
SOUTHGOBI RESOURCES SELLS MORE THAN FOUR MILLION TONNES OF COAL IN 2011, 58% MORE THAN 2010
COALspot.com - SouthGobi Resources Ltd. (TSX: SGQ, HK: 1878) has successfully complets year 2011 on guidance in terms of coal sales and production.
...
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- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- The University of Queensland
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- White Energy Company Limited
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Australian Coal Association
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
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