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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 26 January 12
ABM INVESTAMA SEALS US$100 MIO CONTRACT - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, PT Reswara Minergi Hartama, a subsidary of PT ABM Investama Tbk (ABMM), has sealed a 2 million tons of coal export co ...
Thursday, 26 January 12
DRY BULK MARKETS DOWNFALL KNOWS NO LIMITS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market’s demise seems to have no visible end, as China’s Lunar Year Holidays continue this week, thus leaving demand with n ...
Wednesday, 25 January 12
CLEAN AND CLEAR MINING PERMITS TO BE COMPLETED END OF 2012 - BISNIS.COM
Bisnis.com reported that, the government plans to announce 700 mining permits with "clean and clear" status without overlapping on other p ...
Tuesday, 24 January 12
ANOTHER SEVERE DROP IN THE CAPESIZE - BRS
The lunar year celebrations and the high number of new building deliveries (more than 35 Capes so far in January as owners push 2011 deliveries into ...
Tuesday, 24 January 12
BUKIT ASAM FY11 NET PROFIT SURGES 50% - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, the state-controlled PT Bukit Asam Tbk (PTBA) estimated to book Rp3 trillion (approximately US$ 335,570,469) net prof ...
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- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Planning Commission, India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
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