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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 31 January 12
THERE ARE MANY GOOD REASONS FOR COAL IN GERMANY - DR CIESLIK
COALspot.com - "The year 2011 was again marked by many changes on the markets and energy policies, at times in line with expectations, but at o ...
Tuesday, 31 January 12
DRY BULK MARKET KEEPS FALLING FOR WORST MONTH IN YEARS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market didn't manage to put a halt in its downfall, with the industry's benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index), posting yet another fa ...
Monday, 30 January 12
CHINA'S HUNGER FOR COAL LEAVES DENT IN PENNSYLVANIA'S SUPPLY - THOMAS LESKIN
With the price of heating oil on the rise, one of Pennsylvania's greatest natural resources - coal - is in high demand, and not just locally.
Et ...
Saturday, 28 January 12
WILL FREIGHT MARKET STABILIZE FROM NEXT WEEK?
COALspot.com - The markets continued to soften with BDI at 663 points down by 15.78 pct closing at 726 points and cape index was down by 5.73 pct cl ...
Friday, 27 January 12
DEMOLITION ACTIVITY NEEDS TO INCREASE SIGNIFICANTLY THIS YEAR AS WELL - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The oversupply of vessels in most shipping sectors is so intense that it’s become clear to ship owners that unless they scrap as many of their ...
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- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- The University of Queensland
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PTC India Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- White Energy Company Limited
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Australian Coal Association
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
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