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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 15 January 12
THE FREIGHT MARKET CONTINUED TO BLEED - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - "The markets continued to bleed with BDI touching almost 1000 points , almost reaching the collapse of 2008 levels," said C ...
Saturday, 14 January 12
GOLDEN MINES TO SUPPLY 4 MIO TONS - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, Coal miner under Sinarmas Group PT Golden Energy Mines Tbk (GEMS), a subsidiary of PT Dian Swastatika Sentosa Tbk (DS ...
Friday, 13 January 12
DIFFICULT START OF 2012 FOR DRY BULK MARKET SEEN HARD TO CHANGE IN THE COURSE OF THE YEAR, UNLESS DEMOLITION PICKS UP
The dry bulk market has been on a freefall this week after a rocky start to the new year. Yesterday, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) the industry's benc ...
Thursday, 12 January 12
DRY BULK MARKET CRASHING AT START OF THE YEAR - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has kept being on freefall mode yesterday, with the industry's benchmark, the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) losing a massive 5.17% on ...
Wednesday, 11 January 12
NEWBUILDING ORDERS DECLINE, AS SHIP OWNERS REALIZE OVERSUPPLY WILL "KILL" THEM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With 2012 now underway, it will be rather interesting to see how ship owners will play the "newbuilding ordering" card to their favor, as ...
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- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- MS Steel International - UAE
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Planning Commission, India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- White Energy Company Limited
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- PTC India Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Parliament of New Zealand
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