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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Friday, 10 February 12
TONNAGE KEEPS ON COMING - DREWRY
Drewry Maritime Research’s latest edition of its Dry Bulk Forecaster pulls no punches in its assessment of a market that looks certain to cont ...
Friday, 10 February 12
GIVE PERMIT POWERS TO GOVERNORS: MINERS - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, following clashes between mining companies and local residents, the Indonesian Mining Association (IMA) wants to tra ...
Thursday, 09 February 12
AUSTRALIA'S EPIC TO ACQUIRE 15,500 HA COAL EXPLORATION LICENCES IN EAST KALIMANTAN, INDONESIA
COALspot.com - Epic Resources Limited to acquire two coal concessions in Kutai Barat regency, East Kalimantan, Indonesia.
According to company's ...
Thursday, 09 February 12
RESOURCE ALAM BUYS 28,521HA CONCESSIONS - INSIDER STORIES
Insider Stories reported that, PT Resource Alam Indonesia Tbk (KKGI), owned by Adijanto family, today announced acquisition of 75% interest in PT Ka ...
Tuesday, 07 February 12
DRY BULK MARKET FINALLY STOPS DECLINE, POSTS FIRST RISE IN MORE THAN A MONTH - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
After falling to near record lows, not seen since the mid-80s the dry bulk market has finally stopped its path to "hell", with the industr ...
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- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Australian Coal Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- The University of Queensland
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- PTC India Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- White Energy Company Limited
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
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