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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 03 May 12
DRY BULK MARKET REMAINS INACTIVE, POSTING MILD DECREASE - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has kept retreating this week, although at a very low pace, on the back of a lull in demand. The industry's benchmark, th ...
Thursday, 03 May 12
MINERS DEMAND LEGAL CERTAINTY ON PRE-BAN INTERIM POLICY - THE JAKARTA POST
The Jakarta Post reported that, Mining companies represented by the Indonesian Mining Association (IMA) welcomed the government’s plan to impo ...
Thursday, 03 May 12
HANDY EAST COAST INDIA - CHINA AROUND USD 7000 - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy - Stable demand in the Atlantic offered good rates for the tonnage.
USG/Cont was worth USD 17500 and more. Baltic and Black Sea appeared to ...
Wednesday, 02 May 12
CHINA BLACKOUTS HIGHLIGHT PRICING POLICY WEAKNESS - FITCH
Fitch reported that, the likelihood of further electricity blackouts in China this summer underlines Fitch's view of the basic problem f ...
Tuesday, 01 May 12
VIETNAM FEARS IT MAY NOT SEEK COAL SUPPLIES - TBKTSG / VIETNAMNET BRIDGE
TBKTSG / VietNamNet Bridge reported that, with five coal-run thermopower plants under construction, PetroVietnam alone would need 18 million tons of ...
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- ASAPP Information Group - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- White Energy Company Limited
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Australian Coal Association
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
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