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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Sunday, 29 April 12
THE FREIGHT MARKET EXPECTED TO BE STEADY NEXT WEEK - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The BDI continued to go up with the support of Panamax/Supramax and was up by 8.34 pct closing at 1,156 points.
The cape index was ...
Sunday, 29 April 12
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL SWAPS FOR MAY 2012 DELIVERY WAS STABLE THIS WEEK
COALspot.com - Indonesian sub-bituminous coal swaps for May deliveries stable this week, according to DSP of SGX AsiaClear OTC Coal Swaps. In the me ...
Friday, 27 April 12
BUKIT ASAMS NET INCOME UP 14% IN 1Q 2012 (UNAUDITED)
Press Release - PT Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk, announced the Consolidated Financial Statements and Subsidiaries per 31 March 2012 (Unaudited).
Reve ...
Thursday, 26 April 12
AUSTRALIAS COKAL EXPANDS MET COAL POTENTIAL INTO WEST KALIMANTAN
COALspot.com - Global metallurgical coal group Cokal Limited (Cokal) (ASX:CKA) announced today it has completed the acquisition of 75.2% of PT Silan ...
Thursday, 26 April 12
BUKIT ASAMS 1Q OPERATING PROFIT MARGIN HAS INCREASED BY 6% TO RP. 1 TRILLION
COALspot.com - PT. Bukit Asam (Persero), the Indonesia’s state owned coal miner's 1Q, 2012 revenue has increased by 31% to Rp. 3.02 trillion ...
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- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- White Energy Company Limited
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- The University of Queensland
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Australian Coal Association
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
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