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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Saturday, 12 May 12
THE SHIPPING MARKET IS UNLIKELY TO SEE A REBOUND ANYTIME SOON - VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com - The BDI softened this week and it was down by 1.64 pct closing at 1,138 points.
The cape index was up by 2.41 pct closing at 1,61 ...
Friday, 11 May 12
POLITICAL CHANGES COULD LEAD TO TEMPORARY HALT IN SHIPPING INVESTMENTS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The potential of changes of political leadership in many of the world’s leading economies could very well lead to significant shifts in the di ...
Thursday, 10 May 12
DRY BULK ERRATIC ON LACK OF DIRECTION - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The dry bulk market has kept up its erratic behavior as it went down again during yesterday’s session, on a lack of direct guidance in terms o ...
Wednesday, 09 May 12
COAL INDIA SIGNS FSAS WITH 13 POWER UNITS SO FAR - PTI
Press Trust of India has reported that, coal India has so far entered into fuel supply pacts with 13 power units, including Reliance Power's Rosa P ...
Tuesday, 08 May 12
DRY BULK MARKET LOOKING FOR NEW DIRECTION THIS WEEK - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
With the BDI (Baltic Dry Index) the main benchmark of the dry bulk shipping industry not traded at the start of this week, traders, charterers and s ...
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- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Planning Commission, India
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- White Energy Company Limited
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
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