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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 07 May 12
INDONESIAN HBA FALL AGAIN IN MAY 2012
COALspot.com - Indonesian HBA fall again to lowest level since January 2011 in May 2012. The monthly coal reference price for coal sales in Ma ...
Sunday, 06 May 12
INDONESIAN SUB-BITUMINOUS COAL & CFR SOUTH CHINA SWAPS SLIGHTLY DROP THIS WEEK
COALspot.com - Indonesian sub-bituminous coal swaps and CFR South China coal contracts for June deliveries slightly dropped this week.
According ...
Sunday, 06 May 12
S7 & S8 ROUTES LIKELY TO BE FIRM NEXT WEEK VISTAAR SINGAPORE
COALspot.com - The BDI remained flat this week and was up just by 1 point closing at 1,157 points.
The cape size index was up by 5.14 pct closing ...
Sunday, 06 May 12
EXPORT DUTY ON MINERAL FINALLY TO BECOME EFFECTIVE NEXT WEEK
COALspot.com - Mineral ore exporters of Indonesia ( only IUP holders) are required to obtain recommendation letter from the energy and mineral ...
Friday, 04 May 12
DEMOLITION KEY FOR DRY BULK MARKET RECOVERY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The overflow of newbuilding vessels which “spilled over” into 2012 from 2011 brought the dry bulk market to a near collapse level at the ...
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- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Australian Coal Association
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- PTC India Limited - India
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Planning Commission, India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- MS Steel International - UAE
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- The University of Queensland
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
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