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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Tuesday, 09 October 12
REALM RESOURCES RECOMMENCES DRILLING AT KATINGAN RIA COAL PROJECT
COALspot.com : Realm Resources Ltd. (ASX) has announced that it has commenced work on the phase three technical programme at its Katingan Project in ...
Sunday, 07 October 12
INDONESIAN GOVERNMENT DECLARED HBA FELL AGAIN IN OCTOBER
COALspot.com - The Indonesian government’s declared coal reference price has lost US$ 0.17 per MT M-M.
The monthly coal referen ...
Saturday, 06 October 12
CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS FOR DECEMBER'13 DELIVERY GAINED 1.3 PERCENT W-W
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for December 2012 delivery gained 0.098 percent and 0.164 percent W-W and D-D respectively o ...
Saturday, 06 October 12
FREIGHT MARKET IS LIKELY TO PICK AFTER THE HOLIDAYS IN CHINA - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The freight market appeared to be seeing some increase BDI up by 14.23 pct closing at 875 points. The Cape and Panamax index also saw ...
Thursday, 04 October 12
CAPESIZE : IN SPITE OF THE HOLIDAYS IN CHINA, RATES ARE CLIMBING UP - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
Atlantic market remains quiet due to lack of cargoes and more supply of ships. Rates from Continent to east Med were around USD 13k and Black ...
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- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- PTC India Limited - India
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- Planning Commission, India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- The University of Queensland
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
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