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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Wednesday, 03 October 12
BARCLAYS'S PRICE FORECAST FOR NEWCASTLE COAL HAS BEEN WRITTEN DOWN
“ The main story in the global coal markets has been the growth in supply, with all of the major exporters adding volumes into a market which ...
Sunday, 30 September 12
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL SWAPS: MIXED TREND
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for November 2012 delivery lost 0.73 percent w-o-w but gained 0.41 percent d-o-d on Friday, 28 Se ...
Sunday, 30 September 12
INDONESIA HAS NO PLAN TO CAP COAL PRODUCTION
COALspot.com - “The current low coal prices were mainly due to a global oversupply condition, spurred by numerous mining exploitations in the ...
Sunday, 30 September 12
FREIGHT MARKET UNDER PRESSURE; OVERALL SENTIMENTS ARE STILL BEARISH
COALspot.com - The freight market seemed to have lost steam and all indices were down except for cape index.
The BDI was slightly down by 6 point ...
Friday, 28 September 12
DRY BULK SECOND HAND VESSELS ON HIGH DEMAND - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Despite the demise of the dry bulk market and the collapse of freight rates since the beginning of 2012, on the back of record breaking newbuilding ...
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- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- The University of Queensland
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- White Energy Company Limited
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- PTC India Limited - India
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Planning Commission, India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
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