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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Monday, 15 October 12
IT'S STRICTLY COME CHARTERING - CLARKSON RESEARCH SERVICES
The charter market is a bit of a dance between ship owner and charterer: one leader, one follower; one step, two steps, turn... The dance is symbiot ...
Sunday, 14 October 12
SUB-BIT INDONESIA COAL AND CFR SOUTH CHINA COAL SWAPS: SOFT
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for December 2012 delivery lost 0.329 percent w- w but gained 0.248 percent d-d on Friday, 12 Oct ...
Sunday, 14 October 12
SUPRAMAX FREIGHT STEADY: PANAMAX FREIGHTS FIRM - VISTAAR
COALspot.com - The shipping market saw some hectic activity in the Cape and panamax sector and quite a lot of fixtures reported.
The BDI was up b ...
Friday, 12 October 12
HOW REAL IS THE THREAT OF PIRACY? - BIMCO
The threat of modern piracy remains serious, regardless of its seasonal variations and the fact that it is chiefly confined to the Indian Ocean, Gul ...
Friday, 12 October 12
INVESTMENT OPPORTUNITIES OCCUR IN THE SECOND HAND VESSEL MARKETS - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
Although 2012 has by now evolved into one of the most challenging years for global shipping industry, ship owners are scouting the second hand ship ...
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- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Planning Commission, India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- White Energy Company Limited
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Australian Coal Association
- PTC India Limited - India
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- The University of Queensland
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
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