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Wednesday, 12 February 20
MARKET INSIGHT - INTERMODAL
 The recent Coronavirus outbreak in China has led to a global health emergency by World Health Organization and it is yet to be seen how long the phenomenon will last compared also to the SARS outbreak in 2002. By now it is evident that the spread of the virus has been much more rapid, with more than 40,000 incidents and 1,000 deaths officially reported across 25 countries to date, while these figures are expected to keep going up.
The current situation has affected various businesses and industries around the globe and especially the shipping industry. The outbreak has knocked what was a positive sentiment during the start of the year across all sectors and disturbed the markets worldwide. The markets that are deeply dependent to China’s trade have been heavily affected, while the outbreak came to a period concurrent with the Chinese New Year holidays. The extended period of China’s shutdown has shrunk trade volumes worldwide and freight rates across all sectors have plummeted. It is safe to say that the economic distress will affect the China’s economic growth for the first quarter of 2020 and the annual GDP growth as well.
The central location of Wuhan, where the virus originated, which is strategically located on the Yangtze River, is one of the globe’s busiest waterways. More than two billion tonnes of cargo are transported through ports on the mainstream of the river every year. Likewise, more than 80% of China’s inland marine traffic moves on the Yangtze River, while Wuhan itself handles close to 1.5 mill containers a year. Seven out of the ten container ports are located in China and seems that the container industry will be the first to feel the turmoil from the virus effect.
Through Wuhan thousands of tons of coal, steel and crude oil are supplied. Therefore, any major situation that grounds for prolonged disruption on the supply chain from these regions results to great effects for both China and every shareholder that is in business with China and imports goods from there. Moreover, the factories shutdown has resulted in a slowdown of manufacturing and industrial production. As discussed the intra-Asian container shipping market is the first to feel the effect from the Coronavirus and it is expected that the long-haul trades to North America and Europe will be affected. The extended holidays and emergency measures to tackle the virus are estimated to reduce cargo volumes at Chinese ports including Hong Kong by over 6 million TEUs (20 foot equivalent units) in the first quarter of 2020 and forecast global container throughput growth would fall by at least 0.7% in 2020.
Looking forward, the industry widely believes this dynamic will be short – lived. As it was the case with SARS in the past, the supply chains should hopefully resume, resulting in a demand surge, increased trade volumes and even higher than before the virus outbreak freight rates.
By Stelios Kollintzas
Tanker Chartering Broker
Compiled by:
Intermodal Research & Valuations
Analysts:
Ms Eva Tzima
Mr.George Panagopoulos
Disclaimer and legal disclosure: For any further queries please do not hesitate to contact our Research & Valuations Department. The information contained in this report has been obtained from various sources, as reported in the market. Intermodal Shipbrokers Co. believes such information to be factual and reliable without making guarantees regarding its accuracy or completeness. Whilst every care has been taken in the production of the above review, no liability can be accepted for any loss or damage incurred in any way whatsoever by any person who may seek to rely on the information and views contained in this material. This report is being produced for the internal use of the intended recipients only and no reproducing is allowed, without the prior written authorization of Intermodal Shipbrokers Co.
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Thursday, 27 September 12
MINING RE-COMMENCES AT ORPHEUS' B2 EAST KALIMANTAN COAL PROJECT
- B2 project overburden removal completed and coal exposed
- Coal getting has commenced with target production of 30,000tpm
- Orpheus to re ...
Thursday, 27 September 12
HANDY: THE PACIFIC MARKET IS GETTING WEAKER WITH UPCOMING GOLDEN WEEK HOLIDAYS - FEARNLEYS AS
Handy
Yet another week with rates softening in all trades. Especially owners with ships open Continent struggle to find employment paying decent mo ...
Thursday, 27 September 12
DRY BULK MARKET LOSES STEAM - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING
The rise of the BDI (Baltic Dry Index), the dry bulk industry’s benchmark during the course of the previous week, proved to be short-lived, as ...
Wednesday, 26 September 12
NEWBUILDING ORDERING ACTIVITY REMAINS SUBDUED ON GLOBAL MARKET UNCERTAINTY - NIKOS ROUSSANOGLOU, HELLENIC SHIPPING NEWS
Newbuilding ordering activity has been on the down side during the past few weeks, a trend also noticeable during the course of the past few days, a ...
Sunday, 23 September 12
AN ANOTHER UNSTABLE WEEK FOR INDONESIAN COAL SWAPS
COALspot.com - Sub-Bit Indonesia coal swaps (FOB ) for November 2012 delivery lost 1.10 percent and 0.916 percent WOW and DOD respectively ...
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- CNBM International Corporation - China
- Dr Ramakrishna Prasad Power Pvt Ltd - India
- Mercator Lines Limited - India
- Bangladesh Power Developement Board
- Marubeni Corporation - India
- Karaikal Port Pvt Ltd - India
- Medco Energi Mining Internasional
- Salva Resources Pvt Ltd - India
- Altura Mining Limited, Indonesia
- Wood Mackenzie - Singapore
- Tamil Nadu electricity Board
- Power Finance Corporation Ltd., India
- Rio Tinto Coal - Australia
- TeaM Sual Corporation - Philippines
- Kaltim Prima Coal - Indonesia
- Iligan Light & Power Inc, Philippines
- Petron Corporation, Philippines
- Dalmia Cement Bharat India
- PowerSource Philippines DevCo
- SMG Consultants - Indonesia
- Madhucon Powers Ltd - India
- Globalindo Alam Lestari - Indonesia
- Toyota Tsusho Corporation, Japan
- Mintek Dendrill Indonesia
- Kumho Petrochemical, South Korea
- The Treasury - Australian Government
- Meralco Power Generation, Philippines
- Sojitz Corporation - Japan
- Energy Link Ltd, New Zealand
- Cigading International Bulk Terminal - Indonesia
- Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi UFJ Ltd
- Edison Trading Spa - Italy
- GAC Shipping (India) Pvt Ltd
- Bhoruka Overseas - Indonesia
- Bukit Baiduri Energy - Indonesia
- India Bulls Power Limited - India
- Interocean Group of Companies - India
- Indian Energy Exchange, India
- Essar Steel Hazira Ltd - India
- Ministry of Transport, Egypt
- SMC Global Power, Philippines
- Indian Oil Corporation Limited
- Kalimantan Lumbung Energi - Indonesia
- LBH Netherlands Bv - Netherlands
- Oldendorff Carriers - Singapore
- Anglo American - United Kingdom
- Dong Bac Coal Mineral Investment Coporation - Vietnam
- Planning Commission, India
- The State Trading Corporation of India Ltd
- Semirara Mining and Power Corporation, Philippines
- Independent Power Producers Association of India
- Parry Sugars Refinery, India
- Kohat Cement Company Ltd. - Pakistan
- Kideco Jaya Agung - Indonesia
- Riau Bara Harum - Indonesia
- Ind-Barath Power Infra Limited - India
- Videocon Industries ltd - India
- Baramulti Group, Indonesia
- Asia Pacific Energy Resources Ventures Inc, Philippines
- Bayan Resources Tbk. - Indonesia
- Filglen & Citicon Mining (HK) Ltd - Hong Kong
- Timah Investasi Mineral - Indoneisa
- Parliament of New Zealand
- Ambuja Cements Ltd - India
- Aboitiz Power Corporation - Philippines
- Jindal Steel & Power Ltd - India
- Kartika Selabumi Mining - Indonesia
- Star Paper Mills Limited - India
- Electricity Generating Authority of Thailand
- International Coal Ventures Pvt Ltd - India
- Standard Chartered Bank - UAE
- Energy Development Corp, Philippines
- Manunggal Multi Energi - Indonesia
- PNOC Exploration Corporation - Philippines
- Formosa Plastics Group - Taiwan
- Vijayanagar Sugar Pvt Ltd - India
- ICICI Bank Limited - India
- Pendopo Energi Batubara - Indonesia
- White Energy Company Limited
- Truba Alam Manunggal Engineering.Tbk - Indonesia
- SN Aboitiz Power Inc, Philippines
- Semirara Mining Corp, Philippines
- Sarangani Energy Corporation, Philippines
- Alfred C Toepfer International GmbH - Germany
- Bulk Trading Sa - Switzerland
- Grasim Industreis Ltd - India
- Uttam Galva Steels Limited - India
- Gujarat Mineral Development Corp Ltd - India
- Central Java Power - Indonesia
- Orica Australia Pty. Ltd.
- Kobexindo Tractors - Indoneisa
- Larsen & Toubro Limited - India
- Global Green Power PLC Corporation, Philippines
- Thai Mozambique Logistica
- Maharashtra Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Asmin Koalindo Tuhup - Indonesia
- Kepco SPC Power Corporation, Philippines
- Antam Resourcindo - Indonesia
- PetroVietnam Power Coal Import and Supply Company
- Merrill Lynch Commodities Europe
- Economic Council, Georgia
- Chamber of Mines of South Africa
- Sakthi Sugars Limited - India
- Bukit Asam (Persero) Tbk - Indonesia
- Neyveli Lignite Corporation Ltd, - India
- VISA Power Limited - India
- Bharathi Cement Corporation - India
- Krishnapatnam Port Company Ltd. - India
- Carbofer General Trading SA - India
- Straits Asia Resources Limited - Singapore
- GN Power Mariveles Coal Plant, Philippines
- Indo Tambangraya Megah - Indonesia
- South Luzon Thermal Energy Corporation
- Tata Chemicals Ltd - India
- Billiton Holdings Pty Ltd - Australia
- Xindia Steels Limited - India
- Ministry of Finance - Indonesia
- IEA Clean Coal Centre - UK
- Samtan Co., Ltd - South Korea
- The University of Queensland
- Africa Commodities Group - South Africa
- Trasteel International SA, Italy
- Minerals Council of Australia
- Binh Thuan Hamico - Vietnam
- Romanian Commodities Exchange
- Offshore Bulk Terminal Pte Ltd, Singapore
- McConnell Dowell - Australia
- Miang Besar Coal Terminal - Indonesia
- Maheswari Brothers Coal Limited - India
- OPG Power Generation Pvt Ltd - India
- Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Limited - India
- Latin American Coal - Colombia
- Directorate Of Revenue Intelligence - India
- Bukit Makmur.PT - Indonesia
- New Zealand Coal & Carbon
- AsiaOL BioFuels Corp., Philippines
- Eastern Coal Council - USA
- Bhushan Steel Limited - India
- Borneo Indobara - Indonesia
- IHS Mccloskey Coal Group - USA
- Georgia Ports Authority, United States
- Deloitte Consulting - India
- Attock Cement Pakistan Limited
- Barasentosa Lestari - Indonesia
- Meenaskhi Energy Private Limited - India
- Malabar Cements Ltd - India
- Intertek Mineral Services - Indonesia
- Metalloyd Limited - United Kingdom
- Aditya Birla Group - India
- Renaissance Capital - South Africa
- Banpu Public Company Limited - Thailand
- Siam City Cement - Thailand
- Karbindo Abesyapradhi - Indoneisa
- Indogreen Group - Indonesia
- Posco Energy - South Korea
- Leighton Contractors Pty Ltd - Australia
- Sinarmas Energy and Mining - Indonesia
- Bhatia International Limited - India
- Coalindo Energy - Indonesia
- Gujarat Electricity Regulatory Commission - India
- Cement Manufacturers Association - India
- Vizag Seaport Private Limited - India
- Pipit Mutiara Jaya. PT, Indonesia
- Sree Jayajothi Cements Limited - India
- Sindya Power Generating Company Private Ltd
- PTC India Limited - India
- Thiess Contractors Indonesia
- Port Waratah Coal Services - Australia
- Australian Coal Association
- Singapore Mercantile Exchange
- Agrawal Coal Company - India
- GMR Energy Limited - India
- Wilmar Investment Holdings
- Simpson Spence & Young - Indonesia
- Petrochimia International Co. Ltd.- Taiwan
- Commonwealth Bank - Australia
- Coastal Gujarat Power Limited - India
- Eastern Energy - Thailand
- Gujarat Sidhee Cement - India
- Price Waterhouse Coopers - Russia
- Savvy Resources Ltd - HongKong
- Global Coal Blending Company Limited - Australia
- MS Steel International - UAE
- Siam City Cement PLC, Thailand
- Kapuas Tunggal Persada - Indonesia
- Goldman Sachs - Singapore
- Ceylon Electricity Board - Sri Lanka
- Indonesian Coal Mining Association
- Mjunction Services Limited - India
- Orica Mining Services - Indonesia
- Jaiprakash Power Ventures ltd
- Heidelberg Cement - Germany
- Directorate General of MIneral and Coal - Indonesia
- Vedanta Resources Plc - India
- Makarim & Taira - Indonesia
- Indika Energy - Indonesia
- Global Business Power Corporation, Philippines
- Mercuria Energy - Indonesia
- Coal and Oil Company - UAE
- GVK Power & Infra Limited - India
- Bahari Cakrawala Sebuku - Indonesia
- Chettinad Cement Corporation Ltd - India
- Holcim Trading Pte Ltd - Singapore
- TNB Fuel Sdn Bhd - Malaysia
- ASAPP Information Group - India
- San Jose City I Power Corp, Philippines
- European Bulk Services B.V. - Netherlands
- CIMB Investment Bank - Malaysia
- London Commodity Brokers - England
- Sical Logistics Limited - India
- Ministry of Mines - Canada
- Central Electricity Authority - India
- Electricity Authority, New Zealand
- Australian Commodity Traders Exchange
- Lanco Infratech Ltd - India
- Therma Luzon, Inc, Philippines
- Jorong Barutama Greston.PT - Indonesia
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